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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 23, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Magic24%9391
1Celtics76%102103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.0
43.5
36.5
23
52%
14
4
0
1
2
5
3
11
5-16
31%
9-15
7-12
60%
56%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
36.1
37.4
19
65%
5
3
0
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
3-7
4-9
43%
44%
2-4
50%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
34.4
35.5
15
55%
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
3-7
43%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
28.0
29.6
3
75%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
21.3
29.4
4
52%
3
4
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
3-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
24.7
16.4
10
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
2-2
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
23.4
20.2
9
48%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
43%
0-1
0%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
17.1
12.6
8
43%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-6
1-3
50%
41%
0-2
0%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
7.0
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
4.5
10.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
7.2
0
0-1
42%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
2.8
0
0-1
44%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.3
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.8
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.2
41.0
33.4
24
58%
3
6
1
1
0
5
1
2
6-6
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
49%
2-5
40%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.4
40.5
35.5
22
75%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
4-8
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
38.6
29.8
21
71%
12
5
0
1
3
3
0
12
3-4
75%
9-12
6-11
75%
51%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.8
38.0
29.7
23
91%
4
6
4
2
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
6-8
4-8
75%
49%
2-2
100%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.1
36.0
24.3
6
34%
12
1
0
0
0
1
1
11
0-2
0%
3-8
2-4
38%
54%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.9
14.1
20.1
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.9
10.7
20.2
4
50%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
10.5
18.0
2
33%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.9
7.9
5.1
1
57%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.0
2.8
16.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
5.9
0
0-1
42%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.9
4.0
0
1-1
49%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.