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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 25, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28SuperSonics32%9879
19Trail Blazers68%10489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.2
37.8
32.5
23
51%
6
4
0
1
2
1
0
6
6-6
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.5
31.1
24.7
8
68%
4
11
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
2-6
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
29.1
23.4
5
37%
8
0
3
1
0
2
2
6
1-4
25%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
24.8
21.6
2
17%
10
0
0
0
1
0
2
8
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
20.3
24.9
6
51%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
29.6
24.5
19
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
49%
3-8
38%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
23.3
29.2
9
53%
14
0
0
1
0
2
6
8
1-1
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
21.4
21.4
5
58%
5
2
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-3
33%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
16.9
22.3
2
25%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
44%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
3.0
7.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
2.8
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
4.3
0
1-1
49%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
29.9
36.8
17
35%
6
7
0
1
0
1
3
3
2-3
67%
6-18
7-13
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.2
27.9
20.7
6
104%
16
0
0
0
0
2
2
14
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
24.6
26.1
2
9%
5
1
1
1
0
0
4
1
0-2
0%
1-10
6-11
10%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.1
20.7
24.6
4
25%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.8
20.3
25.0
12
55%
3
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
48%
2-4
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
30.6
25.2
17
72%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
50%
1-1
100%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.2
27.3
25.2
9
53%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
45%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
23.3
17.4
12
87%
8
2
0
0
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
49%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.3
20.3
26.0
8
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
4-12
5-10
33%
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.5
15.2
7.2
2
33%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
6.0
0
1-1
51%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.8
0.6
0
0-0
53%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.1
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.9
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.