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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat38%9285
2176ers62%9696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
44.5
39.0
27
53%
1
9
3
2
1
4
0
1
7-8
88%
10-21
8-16
48%
49%
0-1
0%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
43.0
35.5
21
54%
4
3
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-3
67%
8-15
4-9
53%
48%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.5
36.5
36.8
6
50%
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
28.9
29.6
5
43%
10
0
0
0
0
3
4
6
1-4
25%
2-4
6-10
50%
57%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
26.0
22.1
8
46%
6
2
1
1
2
0
2
4
4-4
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
26.1
13.0
12
38%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
46%
0-7
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
16.0
17.0
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
11.2
2.3
4
45%
2
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
2-4
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
7.8
2.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
30.9
1
2-4
47%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
3.3
0
0-1
48%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
41.0
37.8
28
68%
7
4
2
2
1
3
0
7
6-8
75%
8-11
6-11
73%
50%
2-6
33%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
37.5
34.8
12
67%
8
12
0
1
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
6-8
6-12
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
24.3
21.8
4
30%
7
1
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-6
67%
0-4
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
17.1
35.3
9
65%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
16.6
12.7
7
60%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.8
25.7
29.2
13
81%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
24.9
18.4
13
49%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
0-2
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.6
21.1
1.4
6
61%
4
2
1
0
5
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
0-0
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.8
16.9
12.7
4
40%
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.5
9.3
13.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
5.5
1.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.1
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.