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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Hornets57%101116
25Grizzlies43%9998
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.2
41.2
32.6
12
76%
13
2
1
1
1
1
3
10
2-2
100%
5-7
5-8
71%
59%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.6
36.5
33.3
40
79%
5
9
5
2
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
12-17
6-12
71%
49%
5-8
63%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
36.3
35.4
20
72%
9
3
0
1
3
4
4
5
2-2
100%
9-13
7-15
69%
49%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.5
35.5
18.2
21
69%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
5-11
45%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
18.9
26.5
0
0%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-5
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.8
22.1
17.1
7
50%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-4
25%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.2
16.4
15.7
9
65%
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
14.6
26.8
5
36%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
8.7
14.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
6.8
15.2
2
100%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
2.9
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
40.6
37.8
19
59%
4
2
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
5-13
6-13
38%
48%
3-3
100%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.8
37.7
38.4
19
60%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
3-7
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
34.4
38.1
8
58%
8
2
0
1
3
4
0
8
2-2
100%
3-6
7-14
50%
51%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
18.1
16.9
9
51%
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
15.6
26.1
2
25%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
32.5
22.1
15
84%
7
8
2
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
21.1
7.8
12
51%
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
2
1-2
50%
4-10
1-3
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
15.9
25.7
10
53%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
47%
1-4
25%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
13.7
18.6
2
50%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
4.8
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
2.9
7.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
2.9
5.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.