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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls30%8979
7Spurs70%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
40.0
32.9
12
38%
7
1
0
1
0
2
3
4
2-2
100%
5-15
7-15
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
34.8
33.5
18
53%
4
3
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-2
100%
8-14
5-11
57%
43%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
33.8
27.9
2
25%
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
33.0
33.0
9
50%
3
7
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
29.6
19.8
19
68%
11
2
0
0
2
0
4
7
1-2
50%
9-13
3-7
69%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
18.3
18.5
3
13%
4
2
0
0
2
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-8
2-5
13%
48%
0-3
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
16.5
22.9
13
108%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
3-3
100%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
10.2
4.7
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
7.6
18.2
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
6.3
11.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
6.1
14.4
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.6
3.9
8.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
36.4
29.3
15
50%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
44%
1-6
17%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
32.5
24.1
28
66%
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
11-17
6-11
65%
52%
1-2
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.5
27.6
32.2
12
76%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
27.3
31.4
8
34%
11
6
1
1
2
5
4
7
4-6
67%
2-9
8-14
22%
53%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
22.4
23.4
4
35%
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-4
3-5
25%
58%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
25.0
17.9
12
102%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
21.8
11.6
12
75%
9
1
0
0
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
2-4
50%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.8
19.3
7.7
2
20%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
19.3
20.4
0
0%
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.3
5.1
7.4
1
28%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-4
25%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'7" 207 · 21.1
2.0
8.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
1.3
24.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.1
Darius Washington
G · 6'2" 195 · 22.1
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.