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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 26, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks49%10190
8Jazz51%10299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
35.5
38.1
20
50%
9
4
1
1
1
5
0
9
1-2
50%
5-9
7-14
56%
49%
3-10
30%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
32.4
35.6
17
51%
8
2
0
1
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
4-12
6-13
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.8
29.0
30.2
17
101%
1
5
2
1
0
4
0
1
8-10
80%
3-3
4-8
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
22.7
29.8
6
60%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
55%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.2
4.0
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.1
30.0
23.2
11
50%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
1-4
25%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.3
24.0
12.7
13
79%
6
2
0
0
0
1
3
3
5-5
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
40%
2-2
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.3
22.1
27.8
0
0%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
50%
0-6
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
20.3
14.9
6
60%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.9
13.7
1.8
0
0%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
6.5
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.8
2.7
0
0-1
47%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
42.2
36.0
17
51%
7
12
2
1
0
3
0
7
3-4
75%
7-13
6-11
54%
51%
0-2
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
40.8
10.4
9
36%
6
2
0
0
1
0
1
5
1-1
100%
4-10
1-2
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
36.1
34.6
17
67%
4
5
3
1
1
3
1
3
6-6
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
32.3
35.2
21
65%
9
3
2
1
0
2
1
8
5-7
71%
8-13
10-17
62%
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.8
28.6
26.6
15
69%
2
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
7-9
4-7
78%
55%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
19.4
19.8
8
100%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.9
16.5
24.0
2
17%
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-4
50%
0-4
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
14.6
14.7
6
60%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.7
5.8
14.9
4
52%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.1
3.8
20.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
7.9
0
1-2
52%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.