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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
December 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Cavaliers34%9388
4Mavericks66%9881
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.0
36.3
37.9
24
47%
8
7
3
1
0
3
4
4
5-10
50%
8-17
8-16
47%
51%
1-4
25%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
35.2
28.4
7
27%
9
1
0
1
0
1
3
6
3-4
75%
2-11
5-9
18%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
33.3
27.0
17
49%
9
3
0
1
1
3
1
8
5-5
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
41%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.6
31.6
26.8
18
49%
11
1
1
0
0
1
5
6
4-5
80%
7-16
5-10
44%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.1
20.4
25.4
2
20%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.8
33.7
30.5
8
43%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.2
22.1
27.4
2
26%
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
6
0-2
0%
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.0
20.3
17.9
7
47%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.9
7.2
6.4
3
52%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.6
6.6
0
0-1
52%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.3
4.7
0
0-0
42%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.7
4.1
0
0-0
41%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.0
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.1
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.5
39.9
36.2
19
46%
20
1
0
1
1
1
4
16
7-8
88%
6-15
7-13
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
35.2
33.5
19
50%
7
2
0
1
1
3
0
7
0-2
0%
8-16
6-12
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.8
32.2
29.5
9
42%
4
6
3
1
0
3
1
3
5-6
83%
2-5
4-8
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
23.8
25.4
1
13%
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
57%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.2
18.9
8.9
9
101%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
2-3
67%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.1
27.8
27.1
11
52%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
5-6
83%
3-4
3-6
75%
45%
0-4
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.3
27.5
24.7
11
40%
1
0
2
1
1
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
51%
1-6
17%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
18.6
18.0
2
25%
4
2
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.3
6.3
19.4
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.9
5.7
9.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
4.1
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.8
2.7
0
0-1
48%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.9
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.