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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Magic56%100121
19Heat44%98114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
45.6
37.1
22
58%
6
6
2
1
2
3
0
6
2-2
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
47%
4-10
40%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
44.9
35.6
17
40%
8
3
0
1
1
1
4
4
3-3
100%
4-11
3-6
36%
50%
2-9
22%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.1
44.4
37.0
29
73%
21
0
0
1
1
3
7
14
9-11
82%
10-15
7-11
67%
59%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
37.4
27.2
13
54%
4
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
3-9
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
19.0
29.6
5
50%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
30.8
14.4
13
48%
7
5
0
0
0
0
3
4
4-6
67%
3-9
1-3
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
18.5
12.9
10
74%
3
1
0
0
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.6
15.8
20.4
10
73%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
5.5
9.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
3.0
11.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.3
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
51.6
40.5
48
77%
7
11
3
2
3
5
0
7
16-23
70%
16-21
9-18
76%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
51.0
37.4
17
51%
6
6
2
1
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
48%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
48.8
36.4
17
52%
9
3
0
1
1
1
3
6
1-1
100%
8-16
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
41.7
23.4
14
54%
6
1
3
1
3
0
0
6
0-0
-
7-13
3-6
54%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
15.5
16.5
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
29.5
17.6
11
61%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
3-6
50%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
20.3
4.7
5
40%
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
6.5
2.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
28.9
0
5-9
57%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
20.9
1
1-3
48%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
5.7
0
1-1
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.