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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets61%98103
26Grizzlies39%9583
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.3
40.8
29.5
18
84%
7
1
2
1
1
1
1
6
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
3-4
75%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.3
33.5
32.1
22
64%
12
3
0
0
5
1
3
9
4-5
80%
9-15
7-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.2
31.6
20.8
10
31%
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
4
2-3
67%
4-13
3-7
31%
47%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.4
30.0
32.0
10
38%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-7
29%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.5
27.1
24.1
4
67%
11
1
1
1
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
57%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
28.7
20.8
22
65%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
11-17
3-6
65%
52%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
23.1
24.2
7
39%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
21.2
13.3
10
63%
3
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
46%
2-5
40%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.5
4.0
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.8
18.0
1
2-3
45%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.5
8.3
0
1-2
46%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.5
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
41.8
37.3
11
56%
9
8
0
1
0
2
0
9
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
52%
3-5
60%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
41.8
35.6
23
55%
8
3
0
0
1
3
2
6
7-7
100%
8-16
6-12
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
27.3
16.1
12
47%
8
1
0
0
1
3
3
5
2-2
100%
5-12
2-4
42%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
26.8
20.4
5
39%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
41%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
25.6
38.4
8
29%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
1-10
6-13
10%
47%
2-3
67%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.5
23.2
20.6
2
20%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
21.2
27.0
10
63%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
21.0
17.5
10
39%
7
0
0
1
3
1
4
3
2-2
100%
4-12
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
5.6
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
4.5
14.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
1.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
4.5
0
0-1
42%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.