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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 28, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks33%9399
15Bulls67%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
42.2
32.9
34
59%
4
6
2
1
0
2
1
3
6-11
55%
11-19
4-9
58%
47%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
38.3
29.8
15
48%
11
3
1
1
2
2
4
7
1-4
25%
7-14
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.0
38.3
35.9
11
37%
5
15
3
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
1-4
25%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.2
29.6
30.9
10
45%
7
2
0
1
2
3
3
4
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
20.9
22.6
4
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.3
21.0
20.0
15
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
3-6
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.0
20.3
14.7
8
80%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-3
67%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
19.9
23.3
2
13%
1
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
0-2
0%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
9.5
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
6.2
0
1-2
42%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
5.9
0
1-2
50%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.9
2.5
0
0-0
44%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.2
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
43.8
36.1
28
71%
10
4
1
1
0
3
4
6
4-4
100%
12-17
8-16
71%
52%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
40.5
32.7
11
55%
4
9
2
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
33.8
30.6
4
52%
10
3
2
1
4
2
3
7
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
22.0
19.7
2
20%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
19.1
24.1
6
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
34.8
33.7
31
58%
5
4
1
1
1
2
1
4
13-15
87%
6-16
5-11
38%
47%
2-4
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
27.6
18.5
11
35%
9
0
0
0
0
3
2
7
6-8
75%
1-8
3-5
13%
51%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
14.2
12.7
10
87%
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
4.2
10.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
8.9
0
1-3
51%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
7.5
0
1-2
48%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
6.2
0
1-1
45%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.