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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 29, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Heat39%9774
19Wizards61%10196
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
38.4
40.0
22
62%
4
3
1
1
1
4
0
4
3-4
75%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
30.1
39.1
5
25%
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
1-2
50%
2-9
5-11
22%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.9
27.6
42.4
12
44%
3
6
2
2
0
7
1
2
2-4
50%
5-11
9-18
45%
50%
0-1
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
19.9
15.7
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
12.9
28.8
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
4-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
33.7
21.1
9
41%
8
3
1
0
1
2
1
7
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
29.2
10.0
14
53%
3
3
1
0
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
3-7
1-2
43%
45%
2-4
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
18.6
4.3
3
39%
4
0
2
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
16.0
4.1
5
56%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
13.5
1.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
19.8
0
4-6
58%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
15.3
1
1-2
48%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.3
34.7
35.3
12
60%
2
5
4
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.8
31.0
37.4
16
58%
6
5
1
2
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
6-11
6-13
55%
49%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.5
29.9
40.9
15
63%
9
1
1
1
0
0
0
9
1-2
50%
4-7
7-14
57%
49%
2-4
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.7
24.6
29.9
5
42%
1
6
2
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.1
23.8
30.3
6
77%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
5-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.9
25.2
13.8
11
62%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
50%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.4
23.8
16.4
18
73%
7
2
1
0
3
3
2
5
8-10
80%
5-8
2-5
63%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 28.6
23.4
6.3
5
125%
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
15.5
21.5
8
58%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
8.2
5.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.8
10.1
0
1-2
49%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.1
3.9
0
0-1
51%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.