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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 30, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Bulls64%97100
29Knicks36%9283
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
38.5
35.9
13
55%
5
8
1
1
1
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
46%
3-8
38%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
36.6
31.5
6
77%
10
1
2
1
0
0
5
5
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
34.5
38.9
17
51%
6
7
1
1
0
2
1
5
5-6
83%
6-14
9-17
43%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
25.7
20.8
9
46%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
3-6
50%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
21.9
21.3
13
55%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
30.2
33.9
25
83%
5
2
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
8-9
5-11
89%
46%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.8
17.4
5.7
4
106%
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
16.7
22.6
5
43%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
2-4
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
15.3
13.3
8
77%
3
0
0
0
0
5
2
1
4-5
80%
2-3
2-4
67%
52%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
1.6
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
1.6
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
7.8
0
1-3
48%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
39.7
24.5
19
53%
4
5
3
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
44%
3-8
38%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
38.2
29.1
18
37%
12
2
0
1
0
1
4
8
2-3
67%
8-23
6-13
35%
47%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
36.3
32.3
13
39%
3
3
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
42%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
35.8
31.9
11
74%
7
1
0
1
1
2
3
4
1-1
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
16.7
22.9
2
20%
6
1
0
1
1
0
5
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
23.0
20.2
5
64%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.1
21.9
13.4
12
48%
8
1
0
0
0
2
5
3
6-8
75%
3-9
3-5
33%
55%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
17.2
2.4
3
52%
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
11.2
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
13.0
0
1-3
38%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.6
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
2.2
0
0-0
46%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.