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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons64%98106
18Wizards36%9493
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
37.9
31.0
20
50%
7
9
1
1
0
2
2
5
5-5
100%
6-16
6-12
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
33.5
31.4
16
52%
8
3
0
1
2
5
0
8
1-1
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
48%
3-7
43%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
31.8
31.6
10
63%
8
0
0
1
1
0
4
4
0-0
-
5-8
5-9
63%
52%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.8
31.4
27.8
11
60%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
28.8
29.7
16
78%
0
2
0
1
1
3
0
0
2-3
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
4-5
80%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
25.4
18.6
15
71%
7
0
0
0
0
0
5
2
5-8
63%
5-7
3-5
71%
54%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
22.7
18.2
2
25%
1
3
3
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
14.3
16.3
12
87%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
44%
3-5
60%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
6.5
14.2
2
114%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
2.7
7.2
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
2.7
6.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
2.3
5.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.8
45.3
34.7
22
63%
7
6
2
2
0
5
2
5
8-8
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
42.8
36.4
21
56%
9
0
0
1
0
1
0
9
2-2
100%
8-12
6-12
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.1
37.4
27.6
15
67%
10
0
0
0
1
2
4
6
5-5
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.8
35.3
9.9
18
80%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
47%
1-2
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.7
34.0
27.6
9
51%
3
4
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.3
16.4
34.3
4
52%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.4
15.8
19.0
1
13%
3
0
2
0
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
3-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.6
10.3
18.9
3
32%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.2
2.7
6.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.9
17.8
0
2-5
48%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.1
3.4
0
0-1
48%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.