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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Bulls53%95109
20Bobcats47%9497
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
37.2
38.0
21
57%
13
5
1
1
1
0
4
9
7-8
88%
7-15
8-16
47%
51%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
36.9
33.0
11
56%
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
5-8
3-7
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
36.8
35.4
7
45%
10
4
1
2
3
3
3
7
1-4
25%
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
24.4
20.7
16
50%
4
2
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
8-16
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
22.5
24.6
1
17%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.7
36.6
33.6
22
52%
6
2
1
1
0
1
4
2
3-3
100%
5-16
5-12
31%
46%
3-4
75%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
18.2
8.3
17
70%
6
4
2
0
1
1
3
3
3-5
60%
7-10
1-2
70%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
15.6
22.8
10
68%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
6.1
10.2
4
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
5.8
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
5.6
0
1-2
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
44.2
37.1
13
42%
2
9
0
1
0
5
1
1
1-1
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
43%
0-2
0%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.4
40.4
42.3
23
59%
11
8
0
2
2
2
1
10
5-6
83%
3-10
6-13
30%
52%
4-7
57%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.9
38.9
36.9
28
75%
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
3-4
75%
8-12
4-9
67%
47%
3-5
60%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
30.6
30.8
9
37%
8
0
1
1
2
1
2
6
1-3
33%
4-11
5-9
36%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
28.6
26.6
5
43%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
21.1
21.6
8
41%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.3
17.9
20.1
4
50%
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
14.4
11.4
7
77%
8
1
2
0
0
1
3
5
7-8
88%
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
4.0
3.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
4.2
0
0-1
49%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.7
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.