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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets29%9696
9Magic71%10395
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
41.6
38.9
18
46%
7
6
0
1
0
1
4
3
5-6
83%
5-14
6-13
36%
47%
1-3
33%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
38.6
37.0
14
42%
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
2
6-11
55%
4-12
7-14
33%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.8
37.1
38.1
10
51%
10
8
1
2
0
3
0
10
4-4
100%
0-3
3-7
0%
42%
2-5
40%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
16.1
27.8
4
41%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
16.0
29.9
2
23%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-1
0%
1-4
4-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.5
27.6
20.9
13
55%
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
20.9
6.5
10
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
5-5
0-0
100%
39%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
18.6
20.3
12
60%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
6-10
3-7
60%
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
17.1
1.0
13
93%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
0-0
83%
40%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
4.8
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.1
1.5
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
0.8
0
0-0
38%
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
39.9
37.7
23
57%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
7-7
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
48%
2-6
33%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
37.6
39.7
14
54%
3
1
2
1
3
2
1
2
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.1
34.7
40.2
13
42%
13
0
0
1
2
3
2
11
3-10
30%
5-11
7-12
45%
60%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
34.7
33.1
10
63%
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
30.1
23.7
16
69%
3
7
1
1
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.1
19.7
13.9
2
13%
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
47%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
17.9
25.7
4
25%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
13.3
5.7
10
83%
6
0
1
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-6
1-1
83%
51%
0-0
-
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.8
12.2
3.9
3
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
15.1
1
2-4
48%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
3.5
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
1.6
0
0-0
46%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.