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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies39%10290
25Pacers61%10672
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
43.8
32.0
24
60%
6
5
2
1
1
3
2
4
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
40.4
36.6
30
64%
12
2
1
1
0
1
3
9
8-10
80%
11-18
7-13
61%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
39.2
38.6
19
76%
11
4
2
1
0
4
0
11
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
34.6
12.6
7
44%
6
8
3
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.5
20.5
23.9
5
36%
4
0
0
1
3
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
24.2
14.0
5
32%
4
3
1
0
1
4
1
3
1-4
25%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
13.4
20.0
0
0%
2
3
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
12.8
5.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-4
0%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
8.6
23.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.6
1.3
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
1.3
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
9.5
0
2-3
51%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
39.3
29.7
16
43%
5
2
3
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
1-6
17%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
34.5
24.4
11
47%
3
1
2
1
0
3
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
2-7
29%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
34.1
35.4
4
17%
9
1
1
1
4
2
4
5
0-2
0%
2-11
8-16
18%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
28.8
34.7
6
30%
1
3
0
1
1
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
51%
0-3
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
28.5
29.1
10
42%
15
1
1
1
0
1
4
11
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
49%
2-5
40%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
25.4
17.0
6
30%
1
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
20.7
13.9
13
69%
9
1
0
0
0
0
5
4
1-1
100%
6-9
1-3
67%
53%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
17.0
22.6
2
17%
0
3
1
1
0
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
4-7
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
8.8
10.1
4
41%
7
0
0
0
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
50%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
3.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
9.5
0
1-2
54%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.