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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bucks38%96103
22Heat62%10098
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.0
44.7
23.5
25
75%
2
9
2
1
0
4
1
1
6-6
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
48%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.1
39.3
33.0
13
53%
12
2
0
1
1
2
1
11
3-5
60%
5-10
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
33.5
35.9
8
34%
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2
2-4
50%
3-8
5-11
38%
48%
0-2
0%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.2
21.3
30.8
10
63%
7
2
3
1
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.6
17.9
21.3
11
70%
7
1
2
1
0
2
4
3
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-2
100%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.8
30.1
23.7
12
67%
5
1
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.4
20.6
17.3
15
70%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
2-5
40%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.0
17.8
21.5
4
41%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.9
11.5
4.8
5
64%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.2
3.3
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.9
10.4
0
1-3
51%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.7
6.3
0
1-2
44%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.8
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.2
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
43.2
38.7
23
72%
3
4
4
1
1
4
0
3
2-2
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
51%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
42.5
35.8
10
68%
8
1
2
1
1
4
2
6
2-3
67%
4-6
5-10
67%
51%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
40.9
37.2
27
69%
3
8
4
2
0
4
0
3
6-8
75%
9-15
8-16
60%
52%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
38.5
20.6
12
60%
2
4
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
29.8
7.8
11
58%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
3-8
38%
4-6
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
16.1
24.7
11
61%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
3-4
75%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
15.9
16.9
2
20%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
13.1
15.9
2
14%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-3
17%
48%
0-1
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
15.1
0
3-5
60%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
12.2
0
1-2
50%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
9.1
0
1-2
53%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
6.3
0
1-1
51%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.