Final Win Prob. pScore
2638%96
103
2262%100
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo Bucks
109.69489.3
MIA logo Heat
105.49398.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL103
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (12 PTS)103
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILBucks Rebound102
96
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Wade102
96
Q4 - 0:10.0MIASUB: Barron FOR Haslem102
96
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P6.PN)102
96
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHEAT Rebound102
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper102
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)102
96
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)102
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 0:23.0MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)102
99.7%
96
0.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIACook S.FOUL (P3.PN)101
96
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)101
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P5.PN)99
93
Q4 - 0:43.0MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)99
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)99
99.2%
92
0.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0MILBogut S.FOUL (P4.PN)99
91
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)99
91
Q4 - 0:50.0MILWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)99
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 1:04MILVillanueva Violation:Defensive Goaltending97
91
Q4 - 1:04MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)97
98.2%
91
1.8%
Q4 - 1:12MILDavis STEAL (4 STL)97
89
Q4 - 1:12MIAJump Ball Davis vs. Williams: Tip to Wade97
98.7%
89
1.3%
Q4 - 1:18MILBucks Rebound97
99.2%
89
0.8%
Q4 - 1:19MIAMISS Cook Tip Shot97
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
98.5%
89
1.5%
Q4 - 1:22MIAMISS Cook Layup97
99.0%
89
1.0%
Q4 - 1:25MILDavis STEAL (3 STL)97
98.4%
89
1.6%
Q4 - 1:26MILBucks Rebound97
99.1%
89
0.9%
Q4 - 1:26MILHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)97
98.6%
89
1.4%
Q4 - 1:38MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)97
98.7%
89
1.3%
Q4 - 1:46MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)97
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 1:46MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)96
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 1:46MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T3)95
86
Q4 - 1:53MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)95
86
Q4 - 2:00MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)95
86
Q4 - 2:00MIACook Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)95
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 2:05MILWade STEAL (4 STL)95
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 2:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)95
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 2:29MILHaslem STEAL (2 STL)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:47MILBell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 195
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)95
81
Q4 - 2:49MILBogut Layup (11 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)95
81
Q4 - 3:10MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)93
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade Layup93
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 3:30MILBell Reverse Layup (12 PTS)93
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 3:40MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)91
81
Q4 - 3:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
97.9%
81
2.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot91
97.7%
81
2.3%
Q4 - 3:53MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
97.0%
81
3.0%
Q4 - 3:55MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.4%
81
2.6%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)91
98.1%
81
1.9%
Q4 - 4:16MILBogut S.FOUL (P3.PN)91
80
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)91
80
Q4 - 4:27MILWilliams 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS)91
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
98.7%
78
1.3%
Q4 - 5:02MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)89
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 5:23MILBell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
97.6%
76
2.4%
Q4 - 5:25MILMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.0%
76
3.0%
Q4 - 5:39MIACook P.FOUL (P2.T1)87
76
Q4 - 5:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)87
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 5:5887
75
Q4 - 5:58MILBogut S.FOUL (P2.T4)87
75
Q4 - 5:58MIAHaslem Layup (9 PTS)87
75
Q4 - 5:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 6:00MIAMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper87
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 6:21MILBell Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)87
98.0%
73
2.0%
Q4 - 6:25MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)85
97.3%
73
2.7%
Q4 - 6:35MILSUB: Bogut FOR Ruffin85
73
Q4 - 6:35MIASUB: Wade FOR Blount85
73
Q4 - 6:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)85
73
Q4 - 6:42MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS)85
96.4%
73
3.6%
Q4 - 6:55MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
95.3%
73
4.7%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
94.9%
73
5.1%
Q4 - 7:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
91.7%
73
8.3%
Q4 - 7:06MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
92.4%
73
7.6%
Q4 - 7:22MIABlount 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)83
93.8%
73
6.2%
Q4 - 7:46MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
95.2%
71
4.8%
Q4 - 8:14MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)80
90.2%
71
9.8%
Q4 - 8:20MILQuinn STEAL (2 STL)80
94.0%
68
6.0%
Q4 - 8:37MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
95.3%
68
4.7%
Q4 - 8:39MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 280
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q4 - 8:39MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
94.3%
68
5.7%
Q4 - 8:39MILIvey S.FOUL (P2.T3)80
67
Q4 - 8:58MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)80
95.4%
67
4.6%
Q4 - 9:16MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)77
90.7%
67
9.3%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)77
67
Q4 - 9:37MILBell 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS)77
88.7%
67
11.3%
Q4 - 9:54MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)75
85.9%
67
14.1%
Q4 - 10:01MIASUB: Blount FOR L. Jackson75
67
Q4 - 10:01MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Yi75
67
Q4 - 10:01MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade75
67
Q4 - 10:01MILRuffin P.FOUL (P3.T2)75
67
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
80.8%
67
19.2%
Q4 - 10:08MILMISS Ivey 22' Jump Shot75
81.8%
67
18.2%
Q4 - 10:33MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
84.1%
67
15.9%
Q4 - 10:35MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot75
83.2%
67
16.8%
Q4 - 10:48MILWilliams Driving Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS)75
80.9%
67
19.1%
Q4 - 11:02MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
75.1%
67
24.9%
Q4 - 11:04MIAMISS L. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q4 - 11:15MIASUB: Cook FOR Barron73
67
Q4 - 11:15MILRuffin L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)73
67
Q4 - 11:15MIAHEAT Rebound73
71.2%
67
28.8%
Q4 - 11:17MIAMISS L. Jackson 21' Jump Shot73
74.0%
67
26.0%
Q4 - 11:41MILYi Dunk (10 PTS)73
71.3%
67
28.7%
Q4 - 12:0071
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL71
66.5%
67
33.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)71
66.5%
67
33.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
63.6%
67
36.4%
Q3 - 0:05.0MILWade STEAL (3 STL)71
60.7%
67
39.3%
Q3 - 0:10.0MIADavis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)71
64.9%
67
35.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)71
60.7%
67
39.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)70
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.PN)69
67
Q3 - 0:33.0MILBucks Rebound69
55.2%
67
44.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup69
53.8%
67
46.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBogut Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBucks Rebound68
67
Q3 - 0:50.0MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 1 of 268
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIABarron L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)68
67
Q3 - 0:50.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
50.1%
67
49.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot68
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot68
48.8%
67
51.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
44.9%
67
55.1%
Q3 - 1:05MILMISS Yi 10' Jump Shot68
46.3%
67
53.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)68
49.4%
67
50.6%
Q3 - 1:23MILSUB: Bell FOR Simmons68
66
Q3 - 1:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
50.3%
66
49.7%
Q3 - 1:23MILSimmons P.FOUL (P1.PN)68
65
Q3 - 1:27MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
54.8%
65
45.2%
Q3 - 1:28MILMISS Simmons 6' Hook Shot68
56.1%
65
43.9%
Q3 - 1:34MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)68
59.2%
65
40.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS L. Jackson 13' Jump Shot68
57.8%
65
42.2%
Q3 - 1:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
54.8%
65
45.2%
Q3 - 1:46MILMISS Simmons Tip Shot68
56.2%
65
43.8%
Q3 - 1:48MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)68
59.2%
65
40.8%
Q3 - 1:50MILMISS Redd 7' Jump Shot68
56.2%
65
43.8%
Q3 - 2:09MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
58.0%
65
42.0%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot68
56.7%
65
43.3%
Q3 - 2:21MILWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T4)68
65
Q3 - 2:31MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
53.5%
65
46.5%
Q3 - 2:33MILMISS Redd 12' Running Jump Shot68
54.9%
65
45.1%
Q3 - 2:49MIASUB: Haslem FOR Quinn68
65
Q3 - 2:49MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Blount68
65
Q3 - 2:49MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)68
65
Q3 - 2:49MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)68
58.1%
65
41.9%
Q3 - 3:01MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)68
52.4%
65
47.6%
Q3 - 3:05MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
43.8%
65
56.2%
Q3 - 3:06MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot65
40.5%
65
59.5%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
43.8%
65
56.2%
Q3 - 3:47MILYi Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)65
48.0%
63
52.0%
Q3 - 3:47MIASUB: Barron FOR Haslem64
63
Q3 - 3:47MILYi Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)64
47.1%
63
52.9%
Q3 - 3:47MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T4)63
63
Q3 - 3:58MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
43.8%
63
56.2%
Q3 - 4:00MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 163
43.2%
63
56.8%
Q3 - 4:00MILRedd S.FOUL (P2.T3)63
63
Q3 - 4:00MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)63
63
Q3 - 4:15MILSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
47.3%
61
52.7%
Q3 - 4:15MILBucks Rebound62
61
Q3 - 4:15MILMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 262
46.6%
61
53.4%
Q3 - 4:15MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T3)62
61
Q3 - 4:17MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)62
48.0%
61
52.0%
Q3 - 4:34MILYi Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)62
43.0%
61
57.0%
Q3 - 4:39MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)60
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 4:41MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
34.7%
61
65.3%
Q3 - 4:44MILDavis BLOCK (1 BLK)60
36.1%
61
63.9%
Q3 - 5:00MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)60
39.4%
61
60.6%
Q3 - 5:14MILBogut Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)60
42.4%
59
57.6%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)60
47.0%
59
53.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
50.7%
57
49.3%
Q3 - 5:45MILMISS Williams Layup60
52.2%
57
47.8%
Q3 - 5:52MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
55.4%
57
44.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Quinn 4' Jump Shot60
54.0%
57
46.0%
Q3 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
50.1%
57
49.9%
Q3 - 6:05MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot60
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q3 - 6:26MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)60
50.1%
57
49.9%
Q3 - 6:41MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)60
57
Q3 - 6:41MIAJump Ball Haslem vs. Yi: Tip to Williams60
54.5%
57
45.5%
Q3 - 6:52MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bogut 2 AST)60
50.1%
57
49.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)58
45.5%
57
54.5%
Q3 - 7:29MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)58
55
Q3 - 7:29MILWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)58
55
Q3 - 7:38MILSimmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Yi 2 AST)58
49.2%
55
50.8%
Q3 - 7:49MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
41.8%
55
58.2%
Q3 - 7:51MIAMISS Haslem 11' Jump Shot55
40.6%
55
59.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
37.6%
55
62.4%
Q3 - 8:11MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 8:11MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P2.T2)53
55
Q3 - 8:25MIADavis Layup (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
34.4%
55
65.6%
Q3 - 8:40MILSimmons Tip Shot (4 PTS)53
37.6%
53
62.4%
Q3 - 8:42MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
34.4%
53
65.6%
Q3 - 8:44MILMISS Simmons Driving Layup51
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q3 - 8:55MIADavis 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)51
34.4%
53
65.6%
Q3 - 9:13MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)51
37.6%
51
62.4%
Q3 - 9:13MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
37.1%
51
62.9%
Q3 - 9:13MIADavis S.FOUL (P2.T1)49
51
Q3 - 9:24MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup49
33.2%
51
66.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
30.9%
51
69.1%
Q3 - 9:41MILMISS Redd 22' Jump Shot49
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q3 - 9:55MILBucks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)49
51
Q3 - 9:57MIADavis Driving Dunk (14 PTS)49
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q3 - 10:08MILBogut P.FOUL (P1.T1)49
49
Q3 - 10:14MILYi Dunk (4 PTS)49
37.4%
49
62.6%
Q3 - 10:15MILYi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q3 - 10:17MILMISS Bogut 9' Jump Hook Shot47
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q3 - 10:35MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
34.1%
49
65.9%
Q3 - 10:52MILWilliams 16' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)47
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIADavis Reverse Layup (12 PTS)45
28.3%
49
71.7%
Q3 - 11:24MILBlount STEAL (1 STL)45
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q3 - 11:37MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
34.2%
47
65.8%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q3 - 12:0045
47
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
31.0%
47
69.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL45
47
Q2 - 0:01.0MILWilliams 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)45
31.7%
47
68.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MILMISS Redd 3PT Jump Shot43
26.7%
47
73.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0MILBucks Rebound43
28.1%
47
71.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.5%
47
72.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0MILBogut Dunk (8 PTS)43
26.1%
47
73.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot41
21.8%
47
78.2%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
23.0%
47
77.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 1:08MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 241
26.6%
45
73.4%
Q2 - 1:08MILBucks Rebound41
45
Q2 - 1:08MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 241
28.6%
45
71.4%
Q2 - 1:08MIADavis P.FOUL (P1.PN)41
45
Q2 - 1:19MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 241
28.0%
45
72.0%
Q2 - 1:21MIAHEAT Rebound41
45
Q2 - 1:21MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 241
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 1:21MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
45
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)41
26.3%
45
73.7%
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)40
25.8%
45
74.2%
Q2 - 1:36MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
45
Q2 - 1:36MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 1:36MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 1:41MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 1:42MILMISS Bell Layup39
22.0%
45
78.0%
Q2 - 1:59MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)39
23.2%
45
76.8%
Q2 - 2:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 2:11MILMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot39
26.8%
43
73.2%
Q2 - 2:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
28.6%
43
71.4%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot39
27.8%
43
72.2%
Q2 - 2:41MILRedd Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
26.0%
43
74.0%
Q2 - 2:49MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)37
23.6%
43
76.4%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHEAT Rebound37
42
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 237
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 2:49MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Ruffin37
42
Q2 - 2:49MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron37
42
Q2 - 2:49MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
42
Q2 - 2:49MILRuffin S.FOUL (P1.T3)37
42
Q2 - 3:08MILRedd Driving Dunk (4 PTS)37
23.6%
42
76.4%
Q2 - 3:30MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
21.7%
42
78.3%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot35
21.0%
42
79.0%
Q2 - 3:59MILRuffin Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)35
19.4%
42
80.6%
Q2 - 4:18MIADavis 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 4:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21.6%
39
78.4%
Q2 - 4:34MILMISS Ruffin 8' Jump Hook Shot33
22.3%
39
77.7%
Q2 - 4:51MIABarron Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
23.9%
39
76.1%
Q2 - 4:58MILBarron STEAL (1 STL)33
26.0%
37
74.0%
Q2 - 5:08MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot33
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 5:28MILRuffin Dunk (3 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)33
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Davis FOR Cook31
37
Q2 - 5:50MIASUB: Wade FOR L. Jackson31
37
Q2 - 5:50MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
37
Q2 - 5:50MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)31
24.1%
37
75.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
22.2%
37
77.8%
Q2 - 6:09MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 231
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 6:09MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q2 - 6:09MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
37
Q2 - 6:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot30
21.8%
37
78.2%
Q2 - 6:39MILRedd 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)30
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 6:44MILBucks Rebound28
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 6:45MILMISS Bogut 10' Hook Shot28
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 7:09MIAQuinn Layup (8 PTS)28
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 7:17MILBogut Violation:Kicked Ball28
35
Q2 - 7:21MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade28
35
Q2 - 7:21MILSUB: Bogut FOR Voskuhl28
35
Q2 - 7:21MILSUB: Williams FOR Ivey28
35
Q2 - 7:21MILIvey P.FOUL (P1.T2)28
35
Q2 - 7:39MIASUB: Haslem FOR Blount28
35
Q2 - 7:39MILVoskuhl Foul Turnover (P2.T10)28
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 7:39MILVoskuhl OFF.Foul (P2)28
35
Q2 - 7:52MILBucks Rebound28
22.5%
35
77.5%
Q2 - 7:53MILMISS Ivey Reverse Layup28
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 8:08MILBucks Rebound28
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 8:09MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot28
22.2%
35
77.8%
Q2 - 8:25MILVoskuhl Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)28
20.9%
35
79.1%
Q2 - 8:39MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)28
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 8:54MILSUB: Ruffin FOR Villanueva28
32
Q2 - 8:5428
32
Q2 - 8:54MILIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)28
26.8%
32
73.2%
Q2 - 9:03MIAL. Jackson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)28
28.9%
32
71.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 9:14MILMISS Redd 14' Fadeaway Jumper28
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 9:32MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)28
33.5%
30
66.5%
Q2 - 9:32MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 9:32MILVoskuhl S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
28
Q2 - 9:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q2 - 9:43MILMISS Ivey 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
36.7%
28
63.3%
Q2 - 9:58MIABlount Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)28
38.5%
28
61.5%
Q2 - 10:12MILVillanueva 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)28
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 10:21MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
26
Q2 - 10:38MILSUB: Redd FOR Williams26
26
Q2 - 10:38MILSUB: Voskuhl FOR Bogut26
26
Q2 - 10:38MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis26
26
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T5)26
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 10:44MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 10:45MILMISS Bogut 4' Jump Shot26
36.7%
26
63.3%
Q2 - 10:59MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
38.4%
26
61.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMISS L. Jackson 16' Jump Shot26
37.6%
26
62.4%
Q2 - 11:15MILVillanueva 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
35.9%
26
64.1%
Q2 - 11:26MIADavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)24
33.7%
26
66.3%
Q2 - 11:39MILVillanueva Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q2 - 11:50MIAL. Jackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q2 - 12:0022
26
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
27.2%
26
72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound22
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
27.8%
26
72.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Barron 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
28.5%
26
71.5%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILIvey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)22
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAHaslem 11' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)19
23.3%
26
76.7%
Q1 - 1:06MILSUB: Ivey FOR Redd19
24
Q1 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound19
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 1:07MILMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot19
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 1:17MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMISS L. Jackson 21' Jump Shot19
26.8%
24
73.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
25.9%
24
74.1%
Q1 - 1:41MILMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot19
26.3%
24
73.7%
Q1 - 2:00MIASUB: Barron FOR Wade19
24
Q1 - 2:00MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Blount19
24
Q1 - 2:00MILBucks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
24
Q1 - 2:04MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)19
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q1 - 2:19MILWade STEAL (2 STL)19
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)19
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q1 - 2:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
35.9%
19
64.1%
Q1 - 2:59MILMISS Bell 21' Jump Shot19
36.4%
19
63.6%
Q1 - 3:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.1%
19
62.9%
Q1 - 3:17MILHaslem STEAL (1 STL)19
35.6%
19
64.4%
Q1 - 3:28MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)19
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 3:44MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)19
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 4:07MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
35.5%
17
64.5%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 216
35.3%
17
64.7%
Q1 - 4:08MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
34.1%
17
65.9%
Q1 - 4:08MILVillanueva S.FOUL (P1.T4)16
16
Q1 - 4:19MILVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)16
35.5%
16
64.5%
Q1 - 4:38MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 213
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 4:40MILSUB: Villanueva FOR Yi13
16
Q1 - 4:40MILSUB: Bell FOR Simmons13
16
Q1 - 4:40MIAHEAT Rebound13
16
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 213
30.6%
16
69.4%
Q1 - 4:40MILYi S.FOUL (P2.T3)13
16
Q1 - 4:44MILWilliams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)13
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 4:50MIABlount Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)13
32.0%
16
68.0%
Q1 - 5:06MILWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Yi 1 AST)13
33.7%
14
66.3%
Q1 - 5:33MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)10
30.7%
14
69.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 5:46MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot10
34.4%
11
65.6%
Q1 - 6:00MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
35.7%
11
64.3%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot10
34.9%
11
65.1%
Q1 - 6:13MILDavis STEAL (2 STL)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 6:36MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 6:46MILYi P.FOUL (P1.T2)10
9
Q1 - 6:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 6:48MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.3%
9
61.7%
Q1 - 7:00MILWade STEAL (1 STL)10
37.1%
9
62.9%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
38.7%
9
61.3%
Q1 - 7:18MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
39.0%
8
61.0%
Q1 - 7:18MILRedd P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
7
Q1 - 7:22MILQuinn STEAL (1 STL)10
40.1%
7
59.9%
Q1 - 7:44MIADavis Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
41.8%
7
58.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
5
Q1 - 8:00MILYi 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)10
43.0%
5
57.0%
Q1 - 8:07MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)8
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.8%
5
60.2%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
40.3%
5
59.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIABlount P.FOUL (P1.T1)8
5
Q1 - 8:42MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
41.1%
5
58.9%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Blount 14' Jump Shot8
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.6%
5
60.4%
Q1 - 8:57MILMISS Yi Layup8
40.0%
5
60.0%
Q1 - 9:06MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
40.6%
5
59.4%
Q1 - 9:27MILBogut Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)8
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 9:31MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.2%
5
61.8%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Blount Dunk6
37.9%
5
62.1%
Q1 - 9:54MILSimmons Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
37.3%
5
62.7%
Q1 - 9:58MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot4
36.1%
5
63.9%
Q1 - 10:26MILBogut Dunk (4 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)4
35.9%
5
64.1%
Q1 - 10:43MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
35.6%
5
64.4%
Q1 - 10:52MILDavis STEAL (1 STL)2
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 11:02MILSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 11:04MILMISS Bogut Jump Shot2
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 11:24MIABlount 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)2
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:45MILBogut 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)2
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Bogut: Tip to Williams0
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
19
29
66%
MIA
15
24
63%
Midrange
MIL
11
27
41%
MIA
14
33
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
MIA
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
Free Throws
MIL
19
27
70%
MIA
13
21
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2574%12.5 / 17
C. Villanueva1568%7.5 / 11
A. Bogut1354%6.5 / 12
C. Bell1267%6.0 / 9
B. Simmons1169%5.5 / 8
J. Yi1063%5.0 / 8
M. Redd833%4.0 / 12
M. Ruffin563%2.5 / 4
R. Ivey440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2771%13.5 / 19
R. Davis2372%11.5 / 16
C. Quinn1260%6.0 / 10
M. Blount1155%5.5 / 10
D. Cook1161%5.5 / 9
U. Haslem1071%5.0 / 7
E. Barron220%1.0 / 5
L. Jackson214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
74
+15
-20
89
MIA
77
+7
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.16 57.9%
MIA
1.17 58.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
100.2
MIL 109.6 +4.2
MIA 105.4
Pace
91.2
90.5
MIL 89.3
MIA 98.1 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
MIL 16.1
MIA 14.7 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.2%
MIL 57.5% +0.1%
MIA 57.4%
TO %
15.5%
15.4%
MIL 19.1%
MIA 16.1% −3.0%
ORB %
30.1%
22.2%
MIL 32.4% +18.1%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
29.4
30.0
MIL 37.0 +8.6
MIA 28.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
58.5%
MIL 47.4%
MIA 52.6% +5.2%
STL %
7.2%
7.9%
MIL 8.5%
MIA 15.1% +6.6%
BLK %
7.2%
7.1%
MIL 5.3% +1.7%
MIA 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
50.6%
MIL 57.9%
MIA 58.3% +0.4%
Rim FG%
54.3%
59.2%
MIL 65.5% +3.0%
MIA 62.5%
Mid FG%
41.4%
38.8%
MIL 40.7%
MIA 42.4% +1.7%
3P %
34.4%
35.8%
MIL 47.1%
MIA 52.9% +5.8%
FT %
73.3%
72.7%
MIL 70.4% +8.5%
MIA 61.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.4%
30.2%
MIL 39.7% +7.3%
MIA 32.4%
Mid Att. %
43.2%
48.1%
MIL 37.0% −7.6%
MIA 44.6%
3P Att. %
19.5%
21.7%
MIL 23.3% +0.3%
MIA 23.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes25.322.8
Points10398
Rebounds4128
Assists1820
Steals814
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (4)23 (1)
Field Goals38-7338-74
At-the-Rim FG19-2915-24
Midrange FG11-2714-33
2-Point FG30-5629-57
3-Point FG8-179-17
Free Throws19-2713-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 198 · 25
44.7
25
74%
2
9
2
0
4
2
1
1
6-6
100%
8-11
73%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 260 · 23
39.3
13
54%
12
2
0
1
2
4
1
11
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
33.5
8
33%
2
2
1
1
3
2
0
2
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
F · 7'0" 250 · 20
21.3
10
63%
7
2
3
1
2
2
1
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 28
17.9
11
69%
7
1
2
0
2
1
4
3
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
2-2
100%
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
30.1
12
67%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'11" 232 · 23
20.6
15
68%
5
1
0
0
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 26
17.8
4
40%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31
11.5
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 255 · 30
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 240 · 30
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 31
#34 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · G · 6'5" 222 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G · 6'3" 190 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
58%
41
18
8
3
20
0
11
30
19-27
70%
30-56
54%
8-17
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.