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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2176ers26%93107
10Jazz74%101110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
43.4
38.3
30
54%
6
3
4
2
1
1
0
6
5-6
83%
11-20
5-11
55%
48%
1-5
20%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.6
40.8
34.2
20
60%
10
0
0
1
3
2
9
1
2-4
50%
9-15
4-8
60%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
39.5
36.2
25
67%
3
8
1
1
0
5
1
2
5-6
83%
10-16
6-13
63%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
33.7
24.5
2
35%
12
2
1
1
0
1
3
9
0-2
0%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
15.5
20.7
4
40%
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
29.1
22.9
17
49%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
6-8
75%
4-12
3-7
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.8
14.3
17.0
5
47%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.5
12.7
6.6
4
52%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.5
5.5
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
5.5
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
30.6
1
5-11
44%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
38.8
35.3
15
58%
1
20
0
1
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
1-2
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
38.4
24.9
20
67%
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
49%
2-3
67%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
35.7
33.2
22
65%
9
0
1
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
10-16
9-15
63%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
33.1
24.0
4
31%
3
2
1
1
3
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.8
19.2
25.7
11
87%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
17.4
18.6
12
77%
2
0
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
2-2
100%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
14.9
17.3
6
52%
4
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.9
14.7
25.9
5
51%
3
0
0
1
2
0
2
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.8
11.4
16.7
14
99%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
6-7
86%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.7
9.2
13.8
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.1
7.2
10.5
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.