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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Trail Blazers36%92115
15Bulls64%96109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.4
48.9
34.7
25
63%
6
11
2
1
1
0
0
6
10-11
91%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
44.4
33.4
14
39%
13
2
0
1
1
2
5
8
2-2
100%
6-17
7-14
35%
50%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.9
28.1
25.7
13
81%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
3-3
100%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.1
27.1
23.6
13
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
3-7
43%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.2
14.5
15.8
0
0%
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.3
38.9
22.7
21
51%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-4
50%
8-18
4-8
44%
45%
1-1
100%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
34.5
24.6
17
63%
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
48%
2-4
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.2
30.9
24.1
8
65%
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
3
5-5
100%
0-0
1-3
-
42%
1-4
25%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
18.2
22.3
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.6
4.5
9.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.8
0.8
0
0-0
48%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 19.9
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
47.7
35.5
12
44%
14
0
0
1
4
1
5
9
4-6
67%
4-11
2-5
36%
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
46.1
34.3
12
33%
7
9
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
2-9
22%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
45.3
21.9
31
72%
11
1
1
0
4
0
9
2
9-10
90%
11-17
4-9
65%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
26.5
23.8
5
32%
2
7
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
13.9
37.4
2
20%
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
8-15
20%
51%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
45.6
34.6
32
58%
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
1-1
100%
14-22
6-12
64%
46%
1-5
20%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
36.5
20.2
11
40%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
1-7
14%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
15.0
12.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
10.1
2.3
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
3.2
4.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
8.8
0
1-3
51%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.