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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs46%9977
12Nuggets54%10080
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
39.8
33.1
4
69%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
39.2
33.4
20
45%
4
9
2
1
0
2
1
3
4-7
57%
8-19
8-15
42%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
39.0
33.5
20
41%
14
2
2
1
2
4
2
12
6-10
60%
7-20
8-16
35%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
37.7
32.9
18
63%
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
43%
3-6
50%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
16.0
11.1
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.7
24.4
21.7
9
53%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
13.9
14.5
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
13.4
17.6
3
39%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
43%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
10.7
21.3
1
13%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27.7
3.2
5.8
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.8
2.7
8.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Keith Langford
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
5.4
0
1-1
43%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.4
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.6
44.5
41.0
29
67%
0
3
1
2
0
1
0
0
8-8
100%
9-15
7-16
60%
46%
1-3
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
36.5
37.4
17
44%
9
6
1
1
0
2
3
6
3-5
60%
7-17
8-17
41%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
36.4
32.5
6
44%
18
2
0
1
3
2
3
15
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
28.4
24.1
7
58%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
27.0
21.6
4
23%
7
2
1
1
7
3
0
7
0-2
0%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.3
19.9
17.9
6
38%
6
2
2
1
3
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
53%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.4
19.6
19.6
5
31%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
44%
1-4
25%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.0
15.1
23.4
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
12.7
22.5
6
75%
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.3
13.6
0
1-2
48%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.3
3.1
0
0-0
44%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.5
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.