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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 3, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28SuperSonics14%10096
3Suns86%114104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.3
40.2
30.5
14
49%
5
1
2
1
1
4
2
3
4-5
80%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
37.4
16.3
28
53%
7
1
0
0
1
2
2
5
5-6
83%
10-21
3-7
48%
45%
1-3
33%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
36.8
28.5
20
51%
7
8
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
7-14
3-7
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.2
33.1
29.9
14
43%
12
2
2
1
0
0
4
8
0-1
0%
7-16
3-7
44%
46%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.3
6.0
17.4
4
52%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
27.9
28.8
6
38%
14
2
1
1
0
0
7
7
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.4
18.5
21.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.8
13.1
27.0
8
40%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
9.8
7.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
9.0
18.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.9
8.2
12.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
5.8
0
1-1
45%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.6
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
42.6
30.0
11
51%
6
2
1
1
3
0
3
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
1-6
17%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
38.4
32.5
11
42%
14
4
1
2
2
0
1
13
0-0
-
4-11
5-9
36%
58%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.9
35.5
32.3
17
77%
4
10
1
1
0
5
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
56%
3-6
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.1
34.1
32.6
34
66%
11
1
1
1
3
3
1
10
11-15
73%
10-18
8-14
56%
58%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.2
29.6
31.7
9
32%
4
3
2
1
0
2
2
2
2-5
40%
2-10
5-10
20%
53%
1-2
50%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
23.8
24.3
4
50%
4
3
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.1
23.1
27.7
16
62%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
9-11
82%
2-6
4-7
33%
54%
1-2
50%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.6
7.5
18.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
5.4
5.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
2.3
0
0-1
50%
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.3
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
1.6
0
0-0
51%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.