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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons58%95101
14Raptors42%9285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
39.1
33.4
22
81%
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
8-10
6-12
80%
48%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.8
35.6
29.1
10
40%
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
11
0-1
0%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
34.9
31.3
4
22%
12
2
0
1
0
0
4
8
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
51%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
34.5
29.2
18
59%
5
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
46%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
34.1
31.8
20
78%
6
1
0
1
0
2
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
5-7
71%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
22.9
21.2
11
71%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
18.3
19.7
8
68%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
14.3
15.3
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
2-3
67%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
4.2
11.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
2.3
5.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
5.5
0
1-1
51%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
4.3
0
0-1
50%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.8
43.3
36.4
23
48%
16
0
0
1
1
1
5
11
5-7
71%
9-21
8-16
43%
48%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.2
40.2
27.0
25
72%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
7-11
3-7
64%
44%
3-5
60%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
40.1
35.6
15
56%
3
9
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
7-12
5-9
58%
52%
0-1
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.6
36.1
27.2
10
53%
3
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.5
35.7
30.4
7
27%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-9
2-5
11%
46%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.3
13.7
20.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
12.5
19.6
5
38%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-6
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.9
10.1
19.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.2
8.4
10.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.6
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
1.8
0
0-0
55%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.0
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.8
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.