Final Win Prob. pScore
458%95
101
1442%92
85
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
120.28484.2
TOR logo Raptors
103.78281.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0DET101
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:22.0TORBosh Running Layup (23 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Billups 9 AST)101
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.0TORCalderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)98
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Billups 8 AST)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:24TORMISS Moon 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46TORMISS Calderon 21' Pullup Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01TORMISS Parker 9' Floating Jump Shot93
99.8%
81
0.2%
Q4 - 2:18DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)93
81
Q4 - 2:18TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)93
81
Q4 - 2:21DETPrince Running Layup (10 PTS) (Billups 7 AST)93
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 2:26DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:27TORMISS Moon 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 2:36TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 2:37DETBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)91
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 2:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)91
99.4%
81
0.6%
Q4 - 2:59TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.3%
81
0.7%
Q4 - 3:15DETMaxiell Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)91
99.0%
81
1.0%
Q4 - 3:34TORCalderon Driving Layup (13 PTS)89
97.1%
81
2.9%
Q4 - 3:46DETMoon STEAL (1 STL)89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 3:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)89
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 4:00TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot89
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 4:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)89
98.1%
79
1.9%
Q4 - 4:05TORMISS Parker 10' Running Bank Shot89
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 4:10TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 4:11TORMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot89
98.6%
79
1.4%
Q4 - 4:26TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)89
98.2%
79
1.8%
Q4 - 4:27DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.4%
79
1.6%
Q4 - 4:49TORMoon 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)89
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 5:00TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.2%
77
0.8%
Q4 - 5:01DETMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
98.6%
77
1.4%
Q4 - 5:16DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)89
98.9%
77
1.1%
Q4 - 5:17TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot89
98.8%
77
1.2%
Q4 - 5:29DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
98.5%
77
1.5%
Q4 - 5:29DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
98.4%
77
1.6%
Q4 - 5:29TORCalderon S.FOUL (P5.T2)87
77
Q4 - 5:41TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
97.9%
77
2.1%
Q4 - 5:41TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
98.1%
76
1.9%
Q4 - 5:41TORSUB: Parker FOR Dixon87
75
Q4 - 5:41DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes87
75
Q4 - 5:4187
75
Q4 - 5:41DETHayes P.FOUL (P2.PN)87
75
Q4 - 5:59DETBillups 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)87
98.5%
75
1.5%
Q4 - 6:08DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Stuckey85
75
Q4 - 6:08TORSUB: Dixon FOR Parker85
75
Q4 - 6:11TORParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
97.1%
75
2.9%
Q4 - 6:11TORParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 6:11DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T6)85
97.8%
73
2.2%
Q4 - 6:11DETMaxiell L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)85
73
Q4 - 6:29DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
98.4%
73
1.6%
Q4 - 6:30TORMISS Calderon 21' Pullup Jump Shot85
98.3%
73
1.7%
Q4 - 6:43DETBillups 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 6:53DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
97.2%
73
2.8%
Q4 - 6:54TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 283
97.1%
73
2.9%
Q4 - 6:54TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)83
96.4%
73
3.6%
Q4 - 6:54DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess83
72
Q4 - 6:54DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P3.PN)83
72
Q4 - 7:06TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 7:07DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot83
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q4 - 7:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)83
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 7:11DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot83
96.6%
72
3.4%
Q4 - 7:12DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 7:14DETMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot83
96.7%
72
3.3%
Q4 - 7:38TORBosh Driving Finger Roll Layup (18 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)83
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 7:54DETStuckey 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)83
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 8:06DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q4 - 8:08DETMISS Hayes 12' Fadeaway Jumper81
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q4 - 8:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)81
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q4 - 8:26TORMISS Calderon Driving Layup81
96.4%
70
3.6%
Q4 - 8:38DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)81
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q4 - 8:38DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton80
70
Q4 - 8:38DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q4 - 8:38TORCalderon S.FOUL (P4.T1)79
70
Q4 - 8:52DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
94.5%
70
5.5%
Q4 - 8:53TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot79
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q4 - 9:11DETHamilton 17' Pullup Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)79
91.9%
70
8.1%
Q4 - 9:24TORMoon 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)77
89.9%
70
10.1%
Q4 - 9:45DETHamilton 13' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)77
93.6%
67
6.4%
Q4 - 9:59DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
91.9%
67
8.1%
Q4 - 10:00TORMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 275
91.7%
67
8.3%
Q4 - 10:00TORRAPTORS Rebound75
67
Q4 - 10:00TORMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 275
90.3%
67
9.7%
Q4 - 10:00DETHamilton S.FOUL (P2.T4)75
67
Q4 - 10:02DETParker STEAL (2 STL)75
88.9%
67
11.1%
Q4 - 10:15TORMoon Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
91.0%
67
9.0%
Q4 - 10:15DETHayes S.FOUL (P1.T3)75
66
Q4 - 10:15TORMoon Running Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)75
66
Q4 - 10:28DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince75
64
Q4 - 10:28TORSUB: Bosh FOR Kapono75
64
Q4 - 10:28TORSUB: Calderon FOR Dixon75
64
Q4 - 10:28TORSUB: Parker FOR Delfino75
64
Q4 - 10:28TORSUB: Moon FOR Humphries75
64
Q4 - 10:28TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)75
64
Q4 - 10:29DETStuckey Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)75
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q4 - 10:33TORDixon Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)73
92.7%
64
7.3%
Q4 - 10:50DETMaxiell Layup (9 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)73
91.0%
64
9.0%
Q4 - 11:08DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)71
87.9%
64
12.1%
Q4 - 11:10TORMISS Delfino 10' Running Jump Shot71
87.2%
64
12.8%
Q4 - 11:16DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P4.T2)71
64
Q4 - 11:29DETPrince Dunk (8 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)71
85.6%
64
14.4%
Q4 - 11:34TORHumphries Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)69
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q4 - 11:43DETStuckey P.FOUL (P2.T1)69
64
Q4 - 12:0069
64
Q3 - 0:00.0DET69
79.5%
64
20.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound69
82.6%
64
17.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS McDyess 51' 3PT Running Jump Shot69
80.5%
64
19.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)69
81.5%
64
18.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)69
84.7%
62
15.3%
Q3 - 0:23.0TORMISS Bargnani 7' Pullup Jump Shot69
86.3%
62
13.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace69
62
Q3 - 0:30.0DETWallace P.FOUL (P4.T3)69
62
Q3 - 0:38.0DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)69
84.8%
62
15.2%
Q3 - 1:01TORCalderon 20' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)66
77.6%
62
22.4%
Q3 - 1:20DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)66
81.1%
60
18.9%
Q3 - 1:20DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
80.7%
60
19.3%
Q3 - 1:20TORBargnani P.FOUL (P2.PN)64
60
Q3 - 1:21TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)64
77.6%
60
22.4%
Q3 - 1:32DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)64
74.3%
60
25.7%
Q3 - 1:32DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Billups63
60
Q3 - 1:32DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)63
73.8%
60
26.2%
Q3 - 1:32TORKapono P.FOUL (P1.PN)62
60
Q3 - 1:39TORCalderon P.FOUL (P3.T4)62
60
Q3 - 1:54TORCalderon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)62
70.0%
60
30.0%
Q3 - 2:04TORSUB: Kapono FOR Parker62
58
Q3 - 2:04TORCalderon Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)62
73.6%
58
26.4%
Q3 - 2:04DETBillups T.FOUL (P0.T2)62
57
Q3 - 2:04TORRAPTORS Rebound62
77.0%
57
23.0%
Q3 - 2:08DETMISS Billups Driving Layup62
78.0%
57
22.0%
Q3 - 2:11TORParker P.FOUL (P2.T3)62
57
Q3 - 2:12DETPistons Rebound62
80.2%
57
19.8%
Q3 - 2:12DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot62
78.0%
57
22.0%
Q3 - 2:30DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)62
80.2%
57
19.8%
Q3 - 2:31TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 162
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 2:31DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T2)62
57
Q3 - 2:31TORBosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Moon 3 AST)62
57
Q3 - 2:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)62
83.1%
55
16.9%
Q3 - 2:43DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot62
83.8%
55
16.2%
Q3 - 3:03TORBargnani 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)62
85.1%
55
14.9%
Q3 - 3:21DETHamilton Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
87.2%
53
12.8%
Q3 - 3:26DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
85.1%
53
14.9%
Q3 - 3:27TORMISS Moon 16' Jump Shot60
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q3 - 3:42DETPrince 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)60
82.6%
53
17.4%
Q3 - 4:00DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)58
53
Q3 - 4:04TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)58
79.6%
53
20.4%
Q3 - 4:19DETWallace 7' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS)58
84.3%
50
15.7%
Q3 - 4:37TORBosh 15' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)56
82.3%
50
17.7%
Q3 - 4:47DETHamilton P.FOUL (P1.T1)56
48
Q3 - 4:51TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)56
84.3%
48
15.7%
Q3 - 4:52DETMoon BLOCK (1 BLK)56
85.1%
48
14.9%
Q3 - 5:11DETPistons Rebound56
85.9%
48
14.1%
Q3 - 5:12TORMISS Parker 12' Fadeaway Jumper56
85.2%
48
14.8%
Q3 - 5:38TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
83.5%
48
16.5%
Q3 - 5:38DETMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 256
83.9%
48
16.1%
Q3 - 5:38DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 5:38TORBosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)55
48
Q3 - 5:40DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
83.8%
48
16.2%
Q3 - 5:41DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot55
82.0%
48
18.0%
Q3 - 5:56DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)55
83.8%
48
16.2%
Q3 - 5:57TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot55
83.0%
48
17.0%
Q3 - 6:09TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
80.7%
48
19.3%
Q3 - 6:10DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot55
81.5%
48
18.5%
Q3 - 6:19TORCalderon P.FOUL (P2.T1)55
48
Q3 - 6:36TORBargnani Layup (18 PTS) (Moon 2 AST)55
83.3%
48
16.7%
Q3 - 6:51TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
85.2%
46
14.8%
Q3 - 6:52DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot55
85.9%
46
14.1%
Q3 - 7:21TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)55
86.4%
46
13.6%
Q3 - 7:38DETParker STEAL (1 STL)55
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q3 - 7:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
89.7%
44
10.3%
Q3 - 7:42TORMISS Parker Running Layup55
89.2%
44
10.8%
Q3 - 7:49TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
88.1%
44
11.9%
Q3 - 7:50DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
88.6%
44
11.4%
Q3 - 8:18TORBosh Reverse Slam Dunk (12 PTS)55
89.3%
44
10.7%
Q3 - 8:40TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)55
90.5%
42
9.5%
Q3 - 8:41DETMISS Wallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot55
90.9%
42
9.1%
Q3 - 8:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
91.8%
42
8.2%
Q3 - 9:00TORMISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot55
91.5%
42
8.5%
Q3 - 9:20TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)55
42
Q3 - 9:22DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)55
90.3%
42
9.7%
Q3 - 9:37DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
87.4%
42
12.6%
Q3 - 9:38TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot52
86.9%
42
13.1%
Q3 - 9:50DETWallace Layup (5 PTS)52
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q3 - 10:10TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)50
83.2%
42
16.8%
Q3 - 10:27TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)50
86.8%
39
13.2%
Q3 - 10:29DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot50
87.3%
39
12.7%
Q3 - 10:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
88.4%
39
11.6%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot50
88.0%
39
12.0%
Q3 - 11:01TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
86.4%
39
13.6%
Q3 - 11:02DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
86.9%
39
13.1%
Q3 - 11:25DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q3 - 11:26TORMISS Bosh Layup50
87.6%
39
12.4%
Q3 - 11:42DETMcDyess Layup (4 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)50
86.5%
39
13.5%
Q3 - 12:0048
39
Q2 - 0:00.0DET48
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound48
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Prince 50' 3PT Running Jump Shot48
83.5%
39
16.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
84.1%
39
15.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0TORMISS Bargnani Driving Layup48
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 0:23.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
82.8%
39
17.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0TORMISS Delfino 3PT Jump Shot48
83.8%
39
16.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
82.8%
39
17.2%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot48
83.3%
39
16.7%
Q2 - 1:10TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)48
83.9%
39
16.1%
Q2 - 1:26DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)48
87.5%
36
12.5%
Q2 - 1:48DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
83.9%
36
16.1%
Q2 - 1:49TORMISS Bargnani Free Throw 1 of 145
83.7%
36
16.3%
Q2 - 1:49DETSUB: Billups FOR Stuckey45
36
Q2 - 1:49DETSUB: Prince FOR McDyess45
36
Q2 - 1:49TORSUB: Delfino FOR Parker45
36
Q2 - 1:49DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
36
Q2 - 1:49TORBargnani Running Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)45
36
Q2 - 2:02DETHamilton 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)45
85.3%
34
14.7%
Q2 - 2:16TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
83.7%
34
16.3%
Q2 - 2:16TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 2:16DETSUB: Brezec FOR Maxiell43
32
Q2 - 2:16DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)43
32
Q2 - 2:16DETMaxiell S.FOUL (P2.PN)43
32
Q2 - 2:34DETStuckey Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)43
85.4%
32
14.6%
Q2 - 2:46DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
83.7%
32
16.3%
Q2 - 2:46DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
82.5%
32
17.5%
Q2 - 3:08DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
83.6%
32
16.4%
Q2 - 3:08TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot41
83.0%
32
17.0%
Q2 - 3:13DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace41
32
Q2 - 3:13DETWallace L.B.FOUL (P3.T4)41
32
Q2 - 3:13TORRAPTORS Rebound41
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 3:13TORMISS Bosh 16' Jump Bank Shot41
83.0%
32
17.0%
Q2 - 3:24TORRAPTORS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)41
32
Q2 - 3:31DETHayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)41
81.6%
32
18.4%
Q2 - 3:52TORBosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)38
77.8%
32
22.2%
Q2 - 4:10DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
75.1%
32
24.9%
Q2 - 4:10DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
74.8%
32
25.2%
Q2 - 4:10TORParker S.FOUL (P1.T3)36
32
Q2 - 4:26TORSUB: Moon FOR Delfino36
32
Q2 - 4:26DETPistons Rebound36
72.9%
32
27.1%
Q2 - 4:27TORMISS Calderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
72.1%
32
27.9%
Q2 - 4:55DETHayes 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)36
70.3%
32
29.7%
Q2 - 5:21TORBargnani Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)34
67.8%
32
32.2%
Q2 - 5:33DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 5:33DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)33
69.6%
30
30.4%
Q2 - 5:33TORSUB: Parker FOR Kapono32
30
Q2 - 5:33TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
30
Q2 - 5:33TORBosh S.FOUL (P1.T2)32
30
Q2 - 5:51TORBosh Layup (8 PTS)32
67.8%
30
32.2%
Q2 - 6:11DETStuckey Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)32
69.8%
28
30.2%
Q2 - 6:12DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
72.6%
28
27.4%
Q2 - 6:14TORMISS Kapono Layup32
71.7%
28
28.3%
Q2 - 6:17DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Afflalo32
28
Q2 - 6:17TORSUB: Calderon FOR Dixon32
28
Q2 - 6:17TORSUB: Bosh FOR Humphries32
28
Q2 - 6:30DETMaxiell 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)32
69.8%
28
30.2%
Q2 - 6:49DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q2 - 6:51TORMISS Delfino Layup30
66.8%
28
33.2%
Q2 - 6:55TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
64.8%
28
35.2%
Q2 - 6:57DETMISS Afflalo 13' Jump Shot30
65.7%
28
34.3%
Q2 - 7:08DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q2 - 7:09DETMISS Stuckey 4' Turnaround Jump Shot30
65.9%
28
34.1%
Q2 - 7:29TORBargnani Driving Dunk (6 PTS)30
67.7%
28
32.3%
Q2 - 7:31TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 7:34TORMISS Delfino Running Layup30
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q2 - 7:38DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess30
26
Q2 - 7:3830
26
Q2 - 7:38DETStuckey P.FOUL (P1.T3)30
26
Q2 - 7:50DETMaxiell Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)30
70.0%
26
30.0%
Q2 - 7:59DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
67.7%
26
32.3%
Q2 - 8:00TORMISS Humphries 17' Jump Shot28
66.9%
26
33.1%
Q2 - 8:18TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
65.0%
26
35.0%
Q2 - 8:20DETMISS Hayes 21' Jump Shot28
65.7%
26
34.3%
Q2 - 8:40TORHumphries Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)28
67.4%
26
32.6%
Q2 - 9:04DETHayes 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)28
69.4%
24
30.6%
Q2 - 9:18DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
64.7%
24
35.3%
Q2 - 9:20TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 225
64.4%
24
35.6%
Q2 - 9:20DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)25
24
Q2 - 9:20TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
63.0%
24
37.0%
Q2 - 9:20DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P1.T2)25
23
Q2 - 9:28DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince25
23
Q2 - 9:28TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bosh25
23
Q2 - 9:28TORRAPTORS Rebound25
64.7%
23
35.3%
Q2 - 9:29DETMISS Stuckey 7' Jump Shot25
65.5%
23
34.5%
Q2 - 9:51DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)25
67.2%
23
32.8%
Q2 - 9:53TORMISS Dixon 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
66.4%
23
33.6%
Q2 - 10:01TORDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
64.6%
23
35.4%
Q2 - 10:02DETMISS Prince 13' Jump Shot25
65.3%
23
34.7%
Q2 - 10:15TORBargnani Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
67.0%
23
33.0%
Q2 - 10:15TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
67.4%
22
32.6%
Q2 - 10:15DETAfflalo S.FOUL (P1.T1)25
21
Q2 - 10:25TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)25
69.2%
21
30.8%
Q2 - 10:26DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 225
69.5%
21
30.5%
Q2 - 10:26DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
70.7%
21
29.3%
Q2 - 10:26DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Billups24
21
Q2 - 10:26TORBargnani S.FOUL (P1.T1)24
21
Q2 - 10:43TORBosh Layup (6 PTS)24
69.3%
21
30.7%
Q2 - 10:44TORBosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)24
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q2 - 10:47TORMISS Bosh Tip Shot24
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 10:50TORBosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
71.4%
19
28.6%
Q2 - 10:51TORMISS Bargnani 20' Jump Shot24
72.9%
19
27.1%
Q2 - 11:02TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
71.0%
19
29.0%
Q2 - 11:03DETMISS Maxiell 10' Turnaround Jump Shot24
71.7%
19
28.3%
Q2 - 11:15DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
73.1%
19
26.9%
Q2 - 11:16DETMISS Prince 17' Fadeaway Jumper24
71.7%
19
28.3%
Q2 - 11:32DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
73.2%
19
26.8%
Q2 - 11:33TORMISS Bosh 7' Turnaround Hook Shot24
72.5%
19
27.5%
Q2 - 11:48DETBillups 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS)24
71.1%
19
28.9%
Q2 - 12:0022
19
Q1 - 0:00.0DET22
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound22
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Maxiell 15' Jump Shot22
67.4%
19
32.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPistons Rebound22
69.0%
19
31.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMISS Billups Driving Layup22
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0TORMISS Humphries Turnaround Jump Shot22
67.8%
19
32.2%
Q1 - 0:25.0TORDixon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot22
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 0:40.0TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 2 of 222
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q1 - 0:40.0TORSUB: Dixon FOR Calderon22
19
Q1 - 0:40.0TORRAPTORS Rebound22
19
Q1 - 0:40.0TORMISS Humphries Free Throw 1 of 222
66.9%
19
33.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Hamilton22
19
Q1 - 0:40.0DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace22
19
Q1 - 0:40.0DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
19
Q1 - 0:48.0TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
66.6%
19
33.4%
Q1 - 0:51.0DETMISS McDyess Driving Reverse Layup22
67.2%
19
32.8%
Q1 - 1:07DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.1%
19
31.9%
Q1 - 1:08TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot22
67.7%
19
32.3%
Q1 - 1:24DETBillups Driving Layup (7 PTS)22
66.7%
19
33.3%
Q1 - 1:36TORHumphries Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
63.9%
19
36.1%
Q1 - 1:36TORHumphries Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
64.6%
18
35.4%
Q1 - 1:36DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
17
Q1 - 1:41DETWallace L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)20
17
Q1 - 1:41TORRAPTORS Rebound20
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 1:41TORMISS Bosh Layup20
67.7%
17
32.3%
Q1 - 1:51TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
66.7%
17
33.3%
Q1 - 1:52DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot20
67.1%
17
32.9%
Q1 - 2:13DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
68.1%
17
31.9%
Q1 - 2:14TORMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Jump Shot20
67.6%
17
32.4%
Q1 - 2:31DETHamilton 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)20
66.5%
17
33.5%
Q1 - 2:45TORSUB: Delfino FOR Moon18
17
Q1 - 2:45DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
17
Q1 - 2:45TORMoon P.FOUL (P2.T4)18
17
Q1 - 2:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
64.0%
17
36.0%
Q1 - 2:56TORMISS Calderon 21' Jump Shot18
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 3:16DETPrince 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
62.3%
17
37.7%
Q1 - 3:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
60.1%
17
39.9%
Q1 - 3:40TORMISS Parker 12' Pullup Jump Shot16
59.4%
17
40.6%
Q1 - 3:55TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
57.9%
17
42.1%
Q1 - 3:56DETMISS Billups 11' Turnaround Jump Shot16
58.6%
17
41.4%
Q1 - 4:01TORHumphries P.FOUL (P1.T3)16
17
Q1 - 4:19TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Humphries 2 AST)16
60.0%
17
40.0%
Q1 - 4:35TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
61.8%
15
38.2%
Q1 - 4:36DETMISS Wallace 12' Turnaround Jump Shot16
62.4%
15
37.6%
Q1 - 4:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
63.7%
15
36.3%
Q1 - 5:00TORMISS Moon 20' Jump Shot16
63.1%
15
36.9%
Q1 - 5:14TORRAPTORS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)16
15
Q1 - 5:17TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
61.3%
15
38.7%
Q1 - 5:18DETMISS McDyess 10' Jump Shot16
61.9%
15
38.1%
Q1 - 5:31DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
63.3%
15
36.7%
Q1 - 5:32TORMISS Moon Tip Shot16
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 5:36TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
61.3%
15
38.7%
Q1 - 5:37TORMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot16
62.7%
15
37.3%
Q1 - 5:55DETHamilton 16' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)16
61.2%
15
38.8%
Q1 - 6:18TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)14
59.7%
15
40.3%
Q1 - 6:29TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
62.9%
12
37.1%
Q1 - 6:30DETMISS Prince 7' Running Hook Shot14
63.5%
12
36.5%
Q1 - 6:47TORCalderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
64.5%
12
35.5%
Q1 - 7:10TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
65.8%
10
34.2%
Q1 - 7:11DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 114
66.0%
10
34.0%
Q1 - 7:11TORMoon S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
10
Q1 - 7:11DETPrince 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
10
Q1 - 7:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
64.2%
10
35.8%
Q1 - 7:29TORMISS Parker 7' Running Bank Shot12
63.7%
10
36.3%
Q1 - 7:47DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
62.4%
10
37.6%
Q1 - 7:47TORSUB: Humphries FOR Bargnani11
10
Q1 - 7:47TORCalderon S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
10
Q1 - 7:47DETBillups Driving Layup (4 PTS)11
10
Q1 - 8:00TORBosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
59.5%
10
40.5%
Q1 - 8:13DETCalderon STEAL (2 STL)9
61.0%
8
39.0%
Q1 - 8:32TORParker 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)9
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 8:48DETWallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)9
63.2%
6
36.8%
Q1 - 9:15TORCalderon 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
60.6%
6
39.4%
Q1 - 9:41DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)6
61.4%
4
38.6%
Q1 - 9:55DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
60.1%
4
39.9%
Q1 - 9:56TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
59.8%
4
40.2%
Q1 - 10:10DETCalderon STEAL (1 STL)4
59.1%
4
40.9%
Q1 - 10:26TORMoon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
59.7%
4
40.3%
Q1 - 10:39DETBillups 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 11:02TORBargnani 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
59.0%
2
41.0%
Q1 - 11:26DETMcDyess 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
58.8%
0
41.2%
Q1 - 11:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 11:48TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot0
58.0%
0
42.0%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Wallace: Tip to Calderon0
57.7%
0
42.3%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETTOR
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.7%
TOR
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
12
19
63%
TOR
12
24
50%
Midrange
DET
19
42
45%
TOR
16
43
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
TOR
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
DET
15
18
83%
TOR
14
22
64%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2279%11.0 / 14
R. Wallace2077%10.0 / 13
C. Billups1860%9.0 / 15
J. Maxiell1169%5.5 / 8
T. Prince1042%5.0 / 12
R. Stuckey867%4.0 / 6
J. Hayes857%4.0 / 7
A. McDyess422%2.0 / 9
A. Afflalo0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani2574%12.5 / 17
C. Bosh2348%11.5 / 24
J. Calderon1558%7.5 / 13
J. Moon1056%5.0 / 9
A. Parker727%3.5 / 13
K. Humphries536%2.5 / 7
C. Delfino0-0.0 / 4
J. Kapono0-0.0 / 1
J. Dixon0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
77
+12
-7
89
TOR
78
+11
-4
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.13 56.7%
TOR
0.96 47.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
109.7
DET 120.2 +16.6
TOR 103.7
Pace
88.2
90.7
DET 84.2 +2.5
TOR 81.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
15.9
DET 17.1 −0.5
TOR 17.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
51.1%
DET 55.8% +11.4%
TOR 44.4%
TO %
12.6%
12.3%
DET 7.6%
TOR 4.3% −3.3%
ORB %
29.4%
23.5%
DET 20.6% +2.2%
TOR 18.4%
FTrt
30.0
24.7
DET 23.4
TOR 27.5 +4.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
62.0%
DET 61.5% +13.0%
TOR 48.5%
STL %
8.1%
7.6%
DET 3.6%
TOR 6.1% +2.5%
BLK %
9.4%
6.9%
DET 0.0%
TOR 3.3% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.7%
DET 56.7% +8.9%
TOR 47.8%
Rim FG%
60.1%
58.5%
DET 63.2% +13.2%
TOR 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
43.3%
DET 45.2% +8.0%
TOR 37.2%
3P %
36.6%
39.2%
DET 50.0% +11.5%
TOR 38.5%
FT %
76.7%
81.2%
DET 83.3% +19.7%
TOR 63.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
28.9%
DET 24.7%
TOR 30.0% +5.3%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
49.4%
DET 54.5%
TOR 53.8% −0.8%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.7%
DET 20.8% +4.5%
TOR 16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETTOR
Possessions8482
Possession Minutes23.924.1
Points10185
Rebounds4736
Assists2416
Steals35
Blocks02
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)4 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)40 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals39-7733-80
At-the-Rim FG12-1912-24
Midrange FG19-4216-43
2-Point FG31-6128-67
3-Point FG8-165-13
Free Throws15-1814-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
39.1
22
79%
4
4
1
0
1
2
0
4
6-6
100%
8-10
80%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
35.6
10
42%
11
1
0
0
0
0
0
11
0-1
0%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
34.9
4
22%
12
2
0
0
0
4
4
8
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
34.5
18
60%
5
9
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
6-11
55%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
34.1
20
77%
6
1
0
0
2
4
1
5
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
5-7
71%
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
22.9
11
69%
4
0
0
0
1
4
1
3
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
18.3
8
67%
1
6
2
0
2
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
14.3
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
4.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
57%
47
24
3
0
7
0
7
40
15-18
83%
31-61
51%
8-16
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.