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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Rockets43%9596
12Magic57%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.4
44.3
38.3
20
63%
3
8
2
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
4-10
3-6
40%
43%
3-4
75%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.3
40.0
36.4
5
50%
8
2
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
33.0
27.7
12
47%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
0-4
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.3
31.1
36.2
26
62%
10
1
0
0
0
4
6
4
6-7
86%
10-18
8-16
56%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
17.8
21.1
4
100%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
34.0
29.1
12
41%
12
3
1
1
1
6
2
10
6-6
100%
3-11
5-11
27%
46%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
19.0
10.7
7
58%
2
4
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
16.6
21.9
10
63%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
4-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
4.2
7.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.5
5.5
0
1-2
44%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.5
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
41.8
38.2
16
45%
4
2
4
1
0
3
0
4
6-6
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
2-8
25%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
41.7
38.0
13
50%
11
5
2
1
0
3
3
8
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
1-2
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
34.0
10.3
9
46%
3
3
2
0
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
1-2
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.1
33.7
37.6
16
52%
8
1
3
1
1
1
2
6
6-10
60%
5-11
6-11
45%
58%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.4
15.9
25.8
8
82%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
3-6
67%
44%
1-1
100%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
32.1
22.8
20
70%
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
6-10
3-6
60%
47%
2-3
67%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
14.3
8.6
4
50%
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.6
13.9
33.2
4
40%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
12.5
16.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.9
7.5
0
1-2
49%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
3.1
0
0-0
43%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
1.5
0
0-0
46%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.4
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.