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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks51%9991
27Pacers49%98113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.1
33.1
33.9
20
61%
4
1
0
1
5
6
1
3
6-8
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
32.5
37.6
8
34%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.5
27.1
35.8
13
48%
3
1
1
1
0
2
2
1
7-8
88%
3-9
5-11
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.3
22.4
23.7
4
33%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
15.4
35.4
2
25%
4
0
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
50%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.5
37.2
24.5
26
79%
8
2
1
1
0
2
2
6
6-8
75%
10-13
3-5
77%
54%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
25.8
11.2
3
26%
7
0
3
0
2
1
0
7
3-4
75%
0-4
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.9
23.8
12.3
11
56%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
3-6
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.5
12.0
2.1
2
50%
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
45%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
6.8
3.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
3.9
12.6
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.9
7.9
0
1-3
46%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.2
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
35.1
32.9
23
89%
12
3
1
1
0
4
0
12
1-2
50%
5-6
4-8
83%
51%
4-6
67%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
30.7
34.4
11
47%
3
3
0
1
4
1
1
2
1-4
25%
5-10
7-15
50%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
29.6
31.9
32
82%
9
0
2
1
0
4
2
7
7-10
70%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
5-6
83%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
22.2
27.3
5
36%
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
18.4
28.4
3
38%
9
4
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
29.6
20.1
12
47%
2
4
3
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
29.2
20.4
20
67%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-9
2-4
67%
43%
2-5
40%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
12.8
16.6
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
8.9
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
8.7
9.5
3
26%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.8
7.9
2.9
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
6.7
9.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.