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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 4, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bobcats36%9296
16Nets64%97102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
43.9
40.9
25
64%
12
5
0
2
1
5
0
12
9-10
90%
8-13
6-12
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
39.4
37.0
33
52%
8
4
0
1
1
4
3
5
7-8
88%
10-20
4-10
50%
47%
2-8
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
38.9
39.3
8
33%
1
8
2
2
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
4-10
4-10
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
38.1
26.8
13
81%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
1-1
100%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
35.8
30.5
6
80%
13
2
1
1
4
4
2
11
2-4
50%
2-2
5-9
100%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
19.3
19.1
7
50%
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
14.5
21.2
2
20%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
8.2
12.4
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
1.9
3.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
41.2
37.4
28
47%
5
6
1
1
0
4
3
2
5-7
71%
10-24
7-13
42%
52%
1-3
33%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.8
40.0
36.9
11
51%
10
12
3
2
1
3
1
9
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
39.2
39.5
30
60%
7
4
3
1
0
4
1
6
10-14
71%
10-15
6-13
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
26.9
21.6
12
43%
9
0
2
0
2
0
3
6
0-2
0%
6-13
3-5
46%
54%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
19.8
22.1
4
67%
7
1
0
1
2
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.5
22.6
24.2
11
49%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
21.1
9.1
6
60%
0
5
3
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
2-2
100%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
21.1
14.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
8.3
19.1
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
5.4
0
1-1
48%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.1
4.8
0
1-1
46%
Billy Thomas
G · 6'5" 220 · 32.0
0.4
0
0-0
50%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.4
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.