Final Win Prob. pScore
2517%92
89
383%104
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
98.99083.0
DAL logo Mavericks
105.68997.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA89
94
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound89
94
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Davis 42' 3PT Jump Shot89
94
Q4 - 0:02.0DALHoward Running Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Harris 9 AST)89
94
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAHarris STEAL (4 STL)89
92
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)89
92
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
92
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAL. Jackson P.FOUL (P1.PN)89
90
Q4 - 0:06.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)89
90
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Davis Running Reverse Layup89
90
Q4 - 0:13.0DALSUB: Hassell FOR Terry89
90
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)89
90
Q4 - 0:13.0DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)89
90
Q4 - 0:14.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)89
90
Q4 - 0:14.0MIADavis Driving Layup (17 PTS)89
90
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)87
90
Q4 - 0:32.0DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Turnaround Jump Shot87
90
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
90
Q4 - 0:53.0MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Al. Johnson86
90
Q4 - 0:53.0DALSUB: Terry FOR Hassell86
90
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
90
Q4 - 0:53.0DALHarris P.FOUL (P5.PN)85
90
Q4 - 1:03DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
90
Q4 - 1:03DALSUB: Hassell FOR Terry85
89
Q4 - 1:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound85
89
Q4 - 1:03DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
89
Q4 - 1:03MIACook P.FOUL (P4.PN)85
89
Q4 - 1:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)85
89
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 3 of 385
89
Q4 - 1:05MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 1:05MIAHeat Rebound84
89
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 384
89
Q4 - 1:05DALTerry S.FOUL (P3.T3)84
89
Q4 - 1:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)84
89
Q4 - 1:15DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS) (Harris 8 AST)84
89
Q4 - 1:31DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
87
Q4 - 1:33MIAMISS Haslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot84
87
Q4 - 1:49DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harris 7 AST)84
87
Q4 - 1:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound84
85
Q4 - 2:00DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Fadeaway Jumper84
85
Q4 - 2:22MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P5.T4)84
85
Q4 - 2:22DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
85
Q4 - 2:23MIANowitzki BLOCK (3 BLK)84
85
Q4 - 2:3684
85
Q4 - 2:36DALHoward P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
85
Q4 - 2:38MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)84
85
Q4 - 2:39DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
85
Q4 - 2:55DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
85
Q4 - 2:56MIAMISS Al. Johnson 18' Jump Shot84
85
Q4 - 3:07DALSUB: Terry FOR Diop84
85
Q4 - 3:07DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.T1)84
85
Q4 - 3:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)84
85
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Jones 19' Floating Jump Shot84
85
Q4 - 3:47MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)84
85
Q4 - 4:03MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
85
Q4 - 4:05DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 4:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound82
85
Q4 - 4:16MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 4:33DALDiop 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)82
85
Q4 - 4:51DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
85
Q4 - 4:52MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot82
85
Q4 - 5:04DALHarris Foul Turnover (P5.T11)82
85
Q4 - 5:04DALHarris OFF.Foul (P3)82
85
Q4 - 5:12MIANowitzki STEAL (2 STL)82
85
Q4 - 5:28MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)82
85
Q4 - 5:28DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Harris 6 AST)82
85
Q4 - 5:37MIAJones STEAL (2 STL)82
82
Q4 - 5:55DALHoward Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)82
82
Q4 - 6:00MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)82
80
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: Davis FOR L. Jackson82
80
Q4 - 6:19MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Barron82
80
Q4 - 6:19DALHarris Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)82
80
Q4 - 6:28MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 7 AST)82
80
Q4 - 6:44DALHoward Running Slam Dunk (9 PTS)79
80
Q4 - 6:52DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
78
Q4 - 6:53MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 7:06MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)79
78
Q4 - 7:09DALMISS Howard 16' Fadeaway Jumper79
78
Q4 - 7:26MIAQuinn L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)79
78
Q4 - 7:26MIAHarris STEAL (3 STL)79
78
Q4 - 7:41DALDiop Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)79
78
Q4 - 7:51MIASUB: Haslem FOR Blount79
78
Q4 - 7:52DALMAVERICKS Rebound79
78
Q4 - 7:53DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
78
Q4 - 8:08MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)79
78
Q4 - 8:22MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
78
Q4 - 8:24DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup79
78
Q4 - 8:33DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)79
78
Q4 - 8:34MIANowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)79
78
Q4 - 8:59DALHarris 15' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)79
78
Q4 - 9:19MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Davis79
76
Q4 - 9:19DALSUB: Diop FOR Hassell79
76
Q4 - 9:19DALSUB: Jones FOR Bass79
76
Q4 - 9:19DALSUB: Howard FOR Terry79
76
Q4 - 9:19DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
76
Q4 - 9:20MIABlount 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Quinn 6 AST)79
76
Q4 - 9:40MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
76
Q4 - 9:41DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
76
Q4 - 9:55DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
76
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Cook 12' Fadeaway Jumper77
76
Q4 - 10:15MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
76
Q4 - 10:18DALMISS Harris Running Layup77
76
Q4 - 10:41MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)77
76
Q4 - 10:58DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
76
Q4 - 10:58DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)74
75
Q4 - 10:58MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.T2)74
74
Q4 - 11:00MIAHarris STEAL (2 STL)74
74
Q4 - 11:19DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)74
74
Q4 - 11:19MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P3.T1)74
73
Q4 - 11:19DALHarris 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
73
Q4 - 11:23DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
71
Q4 - 11:25MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot74
71
Q4 - 11:44MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
71
Q4 - 11:46DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q4 - 12:0074
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL74
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound74
71
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 41' 3PT Jump Shot74
71
Q3 - 0:02.0MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Quinn 5 AST)74
71
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound72
71
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Pullup Jump Shot72
71
Q3 - 0:45.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
71
Q3 - 0:45.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 272
71
Q3 - 0:45.0DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
71
Q3 - 0:45.0MIACook S.FOUL (P3.PN)72
70
Q3 - 0:57.0MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P3.T8)72
70
Q3 - 1:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
70
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 272
70
Q3 - 1:12DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
70
Q3 - 1:12DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 272
70
Q3 - 1:12MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson72
70
Q3 - 1:12DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)72
70
Q3 - 1:12MIAAl. Johnson S.FOUL (P4.PN)72
70
Q3 - 1:36MIABlount 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)72
70
Q3 - 2:04DALHassell 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)70
70
Q3 - 2:23MIABlount Running Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)70
68
Q3 - 2:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
68
Q3 - 2:39DALMISS Terry 5' Hook Shot68
68
Q3 - 3:01MIATerry STEAL (1 STL)68
68
Q3 - 3:15DALMAVERICKS Violation: Delay of game Violation68
68
Q3 - 3:15DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T8)68
68
Q3 - 3:15DALHoward OFF.Foul (P2)68
68
Q3 - 3:30DALSUB: Hassell FOR Harris68
68
Q3 - 3:30DALMAVERICKS Rebound68
68
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Davis 21' Pullup Jump Shot68
68
Q3 - 3:48MIAHeat Rebound68
68
Q3 - 3:49DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
68
Q3 - 4:09MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 4:09MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
68
Q3 - 4:09DALDiop S.FOUL (P2.T4)66
68
Q3 - 4:23DALTerry 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)66
68
Q3 - 4:33MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P3.T4)66
66
Q3 - 4:39DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki66
66
Q3 - 4:39MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T3)66
66
Q3 - 4:46MIABlount Layup (9 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)66
66
Q3 - 4:58MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
66
Q3 - 5:00DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper64
66
Q3 - 5:21MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)64
66
Q3 - 5:41DALDiop Layup (6 PTS)62
66
Q3 - 5:43DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
64
Q3 - 5:44DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 5:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
64
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot62
64
Q3 - 6:06DALSUB: Terry FOR Jones62
64
Q3 - 6:06DALJones P.FOUL (P4.T3)62
64
Q3 - 6:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)62
64
Q3 - 6:25DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)62
64
Q3 - 6:38DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)62
61
Q3 - 6:39DALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
61
Q3 - 6:55MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)62
61
Q3 - 7:10DALHarris Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)62
61
Q3 - 7:29MIACook 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)62
59
Q3 - 7:43MIAHeat Rebound60
59
Q3 - 7:44DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 8:03MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Haslem60
59
Q3 - 8:03DALJones Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (17 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 8:03DALJones Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (16 PTS)60
58
Q3 - 8:03MIAHaslem C.P.FOUL (P4.T2)60
57
Q3 - 8:04MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)60
57
Q3 - 8:27DALJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)60
57
Q3 - 8:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)60
54
Q3 - 9:05DALHarris Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)60
54
Q3 - 9:10DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
54
Q3 - 9:12MIADiop BLOCK (2 BLK)60
54
Q3 - 9:35DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)60
54
Q3 - 9:49MIAHaslem Dunk (12 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)60
52
Q3 - 10:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)58
52
Q3 - 10:04DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)58
51
Q3 - 10:04MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.T1)58
50
Q3 - 10:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
50
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
50
Q3 - 10:25DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
50
Q3 - 10:25DALDiop Layup (4 PTS)58
50
Q3 - 10:28DALMISS Harris Running Layup58
48
Q3 - 10:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)58
48
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Cook 17' Turnaround Jump Shot58
48
Q3 - 10:52MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
48
Q3 - 10:54DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper58
48
Q3 - 11:11DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
48
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot58
48
Q3 - 11:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
48
Q3 - 11:29DALMISS Jones 13' Jump Shot58
48
Q3 - 11:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
48
Q3 - 11:38MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
48
Q3 - 11:38DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.T2)56
48
Q3 - 11:45DALJones P.FOUL (P3.T1)56
48
Q3 - 12:0056
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA56
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
48
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)56
48
Q2 - 0:06.0DALBass S.FOUL (P3.PN)55
48
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABlount Layup (6 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)55
48
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 253
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIASUB: Barron FOR Al. Johnson53
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Cook53
48
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)53
48
Q2 - 0:28.0DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki52
48
Q2 - 0:28.0DALTerry P.FOUL (P2.PN)52
48
Q2 - 0:42.0DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)52
48
Q2 - 1:02MIACook Running Layup (7 PTS)52
46
Q2 - 1:13DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)50
46
Q2 - 1:23MIAQuinn 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)50
46
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
46
Q2 - 1:50DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)48
45
Q2 - 1:50MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)48
44
Q2 - 2:02DALStackhouse Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)48
44
Q2 - 2:02MIASUB: Blount FOR Haslem48
43
Q2 - 2:02MIAHaslem T.FOUL (P3.T4)48
43
Q2 - 2:02DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Harris48
43
Q2 - 2:02MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T4)48
43
Q2 - 2:17MIAAl. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)48
43
Q2 - 2:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
43
Q2 - 2:26DALMISS Harris Layup46
43
Q2 - 2:43MIACook 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)46
43
Q2 - 3:00MIASUB: Quinn FOR L. Jackson44
43
Q2 - 3:00DALSUB: Jones FOR Howard44
43
Q2 - 3:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)44
43
Q2 - 3:03DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)44
43
Q2 - 3:03DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
42
Q2 - 3:03DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 244
42
Q2 - 3:03MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
42
Q2 - 3:06MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)44
42
Q2 - 3:11MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
42
Q2 - 3:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
42
Q2 - 3:14DALMISS Nowitzki Putback Layup44
42
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 3:22DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
42
Q2 - 3:23DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 3:29DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
42
Q2 - 3:30MIAMISS Al. Johnson 20' Jump Shot44
42
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)44
42
Q2 - 3:49MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T2)44
41
Q2 - 3:49DALNowitzki 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)44
41
Q2 - 4:00DALSUB: Terry FOR Jones44
39
Q2 - 4:00DALMAVERICKS Rebound44
39
Q2 - 4:00DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical44
39
Q2 - 4:00MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Al. Johnson )44
39
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
39
Q2 - 4:15MIAHaslem Putback Layup (8 PTS)44
39
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup42
39
Q2 - 4:44DALHarris Driving Layup (5 PTS)42
39
Q2 - 5:00MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)42
37
Q2 - 5:00MIAHeat Rebound41
37
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 241
37
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Haslem FOR Barron41
37
Q2 - 5:00MIASUB: Davis FOR Quinn41
37
Q2 - 5:00DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)41
37
Q2 - 5:00DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.PN)41
37
Q2 - 5:13MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
37
Q2 - 5:14DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
37
Q2 - 5:29MIAAl. Johnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)41
37
Q2 - 5:48DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)39
37
Q2 - 6:05MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 6:05MIAHeat Rebound38
34
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 238
34
Q2 - 6:05DALSUB: Diop FOR Howard38
34
Q2 - 6:05DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bass38
34
Q2 - 6:05DALHoward S.FOUL (P1.T4)38
34
Q2 - 6:05MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
34
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup38
34
Q2 - 6:17MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
34
Q2 - 6:18DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 6:29DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
34
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot38
34
Q2 - 6:48MIAAl. Johnson Violation:Defensive Goaltending38
34
Q2 - 6:48DALHarris Layup (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)38
34
Q2 - 7:05MIABarron Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
32
Q2 - 7:24MIAHeat Rebound36
32
Q2 - 7:25DALMISS Harris 19' Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 7:33MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis36
32
Q2 - 7:47DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
32
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
32
Q2 - 8:02DALSUB: Howard FOR Stackhouse36
32
Q2 - 8:02DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T5)36
32
Q2 - 8:02DALHarris OFF.Foul (P2)36
32
Q2 - 8:14DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
32
Q2 - 8:15MIAMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 236
32
Q2 - 8:15MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
32
Q2 - 8:15DALHarris S.FOUL (P1.T3)35
32
Q2 - 8:16MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
32
Q2 - 8:18DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Layup35
32
Q2 - 8:25MIAAl. Johnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)35
32
Q2 - 8:25MIAAl. Johnson OFF.Foul (P1)35
32
Q2 - 8:40DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)35
32
Q2 - 8:57MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
29
Q2 - 8:57MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
29
Q2 - 8:57DALSUB: Harris FOR George33
29
Q2 - 8:57DALSUB: Jones FOR Terry33
29
Q2 - 8:5733
29
Q2 - 8:57DALBass S.FOUL (P2.T2)33
29
Q2 - 9:09MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
29
Q2 - 9:11DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Turnaround Jump Shot33
29
Q2 - 9:32MIABarron 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)33
29
Q2 - 9:47MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
29
Q2 - 9:48DALMISS George 16' Jump Shot31
29
Q2 - 10:07MIADavis Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)31
29
Q2 - 10:21DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 10:21DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)29
28
Q2 - 10:21MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Haslem29
27
Q2 - 10:21MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
27
Q2 - 10:41MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)29
27
Q2 - 10:41DALBass S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
27
Q2 - 10:41MIADavis Running Layup (8 PTS)28
27
Q2 - 11:00DALStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)26
27
Q2 - 11:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
24
Q2 - 11:08MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot26
24
Q2 - 11:26DALStackhouse Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)26
24
Q2 - 11:44MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)26
24
Q2 - 12:0024
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Quinn 41' 3PT Jump Shot24
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)24
24
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)24
24
Q1 - 0:33.0DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)22
24
Q1 - 0:37.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 3PT Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 0:43.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 13' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 0:58.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 1:12DALMAVERICKS Rebound22
22
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 1:25MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22
Q1 - 1:26DALMISS Bass 15' Jump Shot22
22
Q1 - 1:45MIAQuinn 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)22
22
Q1 - 2:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
22
Q1 - 2:01DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot20
22
Q1 - 2:23MIAHaslem 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
22
Q1 - 2:33MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount18
22
Q1 - 2:33DALSUB: Bass FOR Diop18
22
Q1 - 2:33MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)18
22
Q1 - 2:40DALHoward Driving Layup (4 PTS)18
22
Q1 - 2:51DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
20
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 3:05MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
20
Q1 - 3:06DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot18
20
Q1 - 3:22MIADavis Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)18
20
Q1 - 3:24MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
20
Q1 - 3:26DALMISS Nowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper16
20
Q1 - 3:35DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
20
Q1 - 3:39MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)16
20
Q1 - 3:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
20
Q1 - 3:50DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot16
20
Q1 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 4:04MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
20
Q1 - 4:04DALStackhouse S.FOUL (P1.PN)14
20
Q1 - 4:27DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)14
20
Q1 - 4:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
18
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS L. Jackson Layup14
18
Q1 - 5:11DALTerry Layup (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)14
18
Q1 - 5:25MIADavis 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
16
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16
Q1 - 5:33DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
16
Q1 - 5:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16
Q1 - 5:40MIADiop BLOCK (1 BLK)12
16
Q1 - 5:45DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
16
Q1 - 5:45DALTerry P.FOUL (P1.T4)12
16
Q1 - 5:58DALHoward 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)12
16
Q1 - 6:15MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)12
14
Q1 - 6:32DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)12
14
Q1 - 6:42DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Harris12
14
Q1 - 6:42DALMAVERICKS Rebound12
14
Q1 - 6:42DALMISS Harris Layup12
14
Q1 - 7:03MIABlount Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)12
14
Q1 - 7:11MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
14
Q1 - 7:12MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot10
14
Q1 - 7:22DALSUB: Terry FOR Jones10
14
Q1 - 7:22DALJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)10
14
Q1 - 7:34DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
14
Q1 - 7:34MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Cook10
13
Q1 - 7:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound10
13
Q1 - 7:34DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 210
13
Q1 - 7:34MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T3)10
13
Q1 - 7:50MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 8:02DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
13
Q1 - 8:11MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T2)7
13
Q1 - 8:16DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
13
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot7
13
Q1 - 8:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
13
Q1 - 8:35MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
12
Q1 - 8:35DALNowitzki Reverse Layup (4 PTS)7
12
Q1 - 8:57MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
10
Q1 - 9:10DALJones P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
10
Q1 - 9:26DALJones 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)4
10
Q1 - 9:34DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
7
Q1 - 9:56DALJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)4
7
Q1 - 10:06DALDiop Violation:Defensive Goaltending4
4
Q1 - 10:06MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:26DALNowitzki 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:45DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:00DALDiop Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:13MIADavis 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:20DALMISS Harris Driving Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:30DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 20
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAHeat Rebound0
0
Q1 - 11:32MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 20
0
Q1 - 11:32DALDiop S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:49DALMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Diop vs. Blount: Tip to Harris0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
21
67%
DAL
12
21
57%
Midrange
MIA
16
37
43%
DAL
13
35
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
12
33%
50%
DAL
8
12.0
19
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
17
25
68%
DAL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis1750%8.5 / 17
M. Blount1777%8.5 / 11
U. Haslem1667%8.0 / 12
D. Cook1563%7.5 / 12
C. Quinn1050%5.0 / 10
A. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
E. Barron758%3.5 / 6
L. Jackson0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2455%12.0 / 22
J. Howard1843%9.0 / 21
E. Jones1794%8.5 / 9
D. Harris1547%7.5 / 16
J. Terry857%4.0 / 7
D. Diop6100%3.0 / 3
J. Stackhouse450%2.0 / 4
T. Hassell2100%1.0 / 1
B. Bass0-0.0 / 1
D. George0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+8
-14
84
DAL
77
+9
-12
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.4%
DAL
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
110.6
MIA 98.9
DAL 105.6 +6.7
Pace
90.5
90.6
MIA 83.0
DAL 97.2 +14.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.4
MIA 17.4
DAL 14.8 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
50.2%
MIA 51.4% +2.1%
DAL 49.3%
TO %
15.4%
13.3%
MIA 15.6%
DAL 13.0% −2.6%
ORB %
22.2%
26.8%
MIA 14.7% +1.2%
DAL 13.5%
FTrt
30.0
31.8
MIA 35.7
DAL 36.0 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
56.9%
MIA 55.9%
DAL 60.6% +4.7%
STL %
7.9%
6.6%
MIA 2.2%
DAL 10.1% +7.9%
BLK %
7.1%
7.5%
MIA 5.4%
DAL 8.6% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.9%
MIA 52.4%
DAL 54.0% +1.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.5%
MIA 66.7% +9.6%
DAL 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.8%
44.3%
MIA 43.2% +6.1%
DAL 37.1%
3P %
35.8%
35.2%
MIA 33.3%
DAL 42.1% +8.8%
FT %
72.7%
81.4%
MIA 68.0%
DAL 74.1% +6.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
28.9%
MIA 30.0% +2.0%
DAL 28.0%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
49.6%
MIA 52.9%
DAL 46.7% −6.2%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.5%
MIA 17.1%
DAL 25.3% +8.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9089
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points8994
Rebounds3734
Assists1920
Steals29
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)29 (3)
Field Goals34-7033-75
At-the-Rim FG14-2112-21
Midrange FG16-3713-35
2-Point FG30-5825-56
3-Point FG4-128-19
Free Throws17-2520-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
46.0
10
50%
4
7
0
1
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
42.5
17
50%
6
7
1
0
1
1
0
6
5-8
63%
6-12
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
35.5
15
63%
2
1
0
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
28.4
16
67%
9
2
0
0
1
4
1
8
4-4
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
27.6
17
77%
6
0
0
1
4
0
1
5
3-5
60%
7-8
88%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
22.1
7
50%
2
0
0
1
3
5
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26
20.9
0
0%
2
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
16.9
7
58%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
C · 7'1" 325 · 36
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
52%
37
19
2
3
14
0
5
32
17-25
68%
30-58
52%
4-12
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.