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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Celtics47%9192
3Pistons53%9285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.2
46.1
38.3
19
49%
9
7
1
1
0
4
0
9
8-8
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
47%
1-6
17%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
32.4
32.2
15
50%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
7-9
78%
4-11
6-12
36%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
28.0
35.4
9
53%
6
2
0
1
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
46%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.2
27.5
24.3
7
51%
9
0
0
0
1
1
4
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
52%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.9
25.7
29.3
3
17%
5
0
1
2
1
0
3
2
1-4
25%
1-7
3-7
14%
46%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.0
22.6
7.8
20
82%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
4-5
80%
8-10
1-2
80%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.0
22.2
20.9
10
64%
4
2
1
1
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.6
18.2
17.6
4
40%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-2
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.0
12.2
23.7
3
38%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 32.9
5.2
7.7
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
1.1
0
0-0
45%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
40.6
31.3
17
53%
4
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
6-9
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
45%
3-9
33%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
39.6
35.5
18
48%
4
8
0
1
0
1
2
2
5-6
83%
5-13
6-13
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
36.4
32.6
16
50%
8
0
0
1
4
1
0
8
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
2-4
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.9
35.1
31.6
7
29%
6
7
1
0
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-9
4-9
22%
46%
1-3
33%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
27.4
32.5
4
33%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
29.4
22.0
13
75%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
3-6
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
52%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
12.9
18.9
6
61%
3
0
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
12.9
15.0
4
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
3.0
8.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
2.8
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
3.3
0
0-1
49%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.