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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Kings32%9293
17Bulls68%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.7
38.8
38.1
22
57%
13
6
0
1
1
3
4
9
5-5
100%
7-16
5-10
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
38.0
34.9
8
45%
7
0
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
37.4
39.0
12
33%
4
6
2
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-16
4-10
25%
44%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
34.6
33.9
6
52%
3
0
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
55%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
28.0
41.3
13
62%
5
3
1
1
0
7
1
4
1-1
100%
6-10
6-12
60%
49%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
29.5
13.4
16
81%
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
7
8-11
73%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.6
21.1
12.1
14
70%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
43%
2-3
67%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.6
8.3
8.8
2
36%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.7
4.3
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.1
12.6
1
2-3
46%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.9
10.1
0
1-3
48%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.4
4.2
0
0-1
47%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.6
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
35.9
35.2
13
46%
5
5
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
33.2
36.1
1
9%
11
3
2
1
1
0
6
5
1-6
17%
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.4
31.0
26.4
9
30%
7
1
2
1
3
2
0
7
3-4
75%
3-13
5-11
23%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
30.5
23.3
26
99%
5
1
1
0
1
3
0
5
7-7
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
51%
5-7
71%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.3
25.2
23.0
0
0%
0
7
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-6
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
34.9
35.2
20
57%
2
4
0
1
0
4
2
0
8-8
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
47%
2-7
29%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
23.5
3.9
14
54%
9
2
1
0
3
2
5
4
4-7
57%
5-10
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
13.2
4.5
7
55%
3
0
2
0
0
0
2
1
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
10.2
6.4
4
27%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-7
1-2
29%
52%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
2.5
12.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
5.7
0
1-1
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.