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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks17%8891
10Rockets83%100103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
41.4
29.6
11
56%
2
3
0
1
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
40.5
42.4
9
56%
2
3
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
5-12
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
39.2
14.9
18
43%
22
1
1
0
0
6
6
16
4-4
100%
7-19
3-7
37%
45%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.1
34.9
31.0
16
41%
6
1
1
0
1
3
4
2
4-8
50%
6-16
6-12
38%
53%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
9.3
22.5
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
39%
0-2
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
32.3
28.3
25
90%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
42%
5-7
71%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
15.0
30.0
4
42%
4
0
2
1
0
1
3
1
2-4
50%
1-3
4-8
33%
54%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
11.2
8.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
9.4
16.8
4
67%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
7.0
13.3
4
67%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
36%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.7
5.5
0
1-2
41%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
2.4
0
0-1
42%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.4
40.0
40.1
14
47%
2
4
2
2
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
2-8
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.3
38.6
34.0
30
62%
8
6
1
0
4
5
4
4
6-7
86%
12-21
8-15
57%
54%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.3
37.0
37.3
4
29%
6
4
1
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
36.0
20.0
4
100%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
59%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
23.5
29.7
10
53%
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
1-5
20%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
24.5
14.2
22
101%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
4-5
80%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
19.1
30.8
9
51%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-5
5-11
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
14.3
19.6
10
83%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
54%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.5
7.1
2.4
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
6.2
0
0-0
52%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.5
4.2
0
1-1
48%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
2.1
0
0-1
52%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.