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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Nets51%9699
22Bobcats49%95115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.5
38.5
38.5
25
65%
2
2
1
1
1
3
1
1
8-12
67%
7-12
7-14
58%
51%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.8
37.6
38.9
13
47%
11
12
1
2
1
3
0
11
4-4
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
1-7
14%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.9
36.9
39.0
17
44%
1
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
7-10
70%
5-12
6-13
42%
49%
0-3
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.1
28.0
27.8
6
61%
8
1
2
1
1
2
1
7
0-2
0%
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
22.1
22.0
12
56%
7
0
1
1
0
0
3
4
2-4
50%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-0
-
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.5
26.9
14.4
5
63%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.5
24.5
24.6
14
58%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.1
17.4
12.0
5
44%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-6
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
43%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
4.0
9.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.1
2.8
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.6
1.3
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.9
14.1
0
1-3
49%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
45.4
38.5
25
63%
7
5
1
1
1
1
0
7
3-4
75%
8-13
5-11
62%
48%
2-5
40%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
43.6
40.5
17
54%
1
7
0
2
0
2
0
1
6-6
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
1-4
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
36.5
40.5
21
59%
11
3
2
2
0
5
4
7
7-11
64%
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
29.9
30.3
17
90%
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
8-9
4-9
89%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
25.6
29.2
6
75%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
28.4
19.2
10
52%
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
7
4-6
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.3
20.6
19.7
17
83%
4
1
2
1
0
2
1
3
3-5
60%
7-8
3-6
88%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
7.5
7.3
2
50%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
2.3
2.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
6.9
0
1-1
43%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
1.6
0
0-0
49%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.1
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.