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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Lakers60%104117
19Grizzlies40%101101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
40.3
33.4
25
47%
3
6
5
1
0
3
1
2
8-11
73%
7-18
7-14
39%
50%
1-4
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
36.0
29.3
10
38%
15
6
0
1
1
2
3
12
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
53%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.2
28.7
31.2
12
51%
9
1
0
0
1
1
3
6
2-2
100%
5-11
5-9
45%
59%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.4
28.6
26.6
26
114%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-1
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
5-5
100%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
27.3
25.0
10
63%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-8
3-5
63%
48%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
22.9
22.1
9
51%
5
1
3
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
19.8
20.9
13
81%
1
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
53%
1-2
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.8
18.8
15.8
8
80%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.0
12.1
15.2
4
52%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.0
5.5
13.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
0.1
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
4.1
0
0-1
48%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
41.6
36.5
19
58%
8
6
1
1
1
4
1
7
1-1
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
53%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
39.8
36.9
15
45%
5
1
1
1
0
5
2
3
3-4
75%
3-11
6-13
27%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
37.6
29.8
11
37%
5
6
2
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-13
3-6
31%
45%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
33.1
40.7
18
51%
12
2
1
1
2
2
6
6
6-8
75%
6-14
8-15
43%
51%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
27.2
23.9
12
67%
11
4
0
1
4
2
3
8
0-0
-
6-9
3-7
67%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
22.2
3.9
15
64%
5
0
0
0
0
2
3
2
3-4
75%
6-8
1-1
75%
51%
0-2
0%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
13.6
15.4
6
75%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
12.8
16.6
3
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
48%
1-4
25%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
10.4
14.4
2
25%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
1.8
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
14.2
0
1-1
45%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
2.3
0
0-0
43%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.