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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat56%9791
30Timberwolves44%95101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
42.0
36.0
15
59%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-4
75%
6-11
5-10
55%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
39.4
27.1
25
59%
5
7
1
1
0
6
1
4
5-7
71%
10-18
6-12
56%
51%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
35.6
25.5
9
58%
4
0
1
1
1
3
3
1
3-4
75%
3-6
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
25.4
39.1
5
43%
1
3
0
1
1
5
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
5-10
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
19.4
31.6
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
28.5
28.2
15
75%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
3-4
75%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
18.2
10.5
9
51%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
13.2
12.6
3
30%
0
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
8.3
16.4
6
109%
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
1
4-4
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
5.1
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
5.0
9.8
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
52%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
23.3
1
3-6
51%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
41.9
28.7
17
76%
4
8
0
1
0
2
3
1
4-5
80%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
1-3
33%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
40.4
29.5
11
51%
3
9
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
3-8
0%
43%
3-7
43%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
39.0
30.5
13
60%
6
4
3
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
48%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.0
38.3
35.2
18
44%
10
0
2
1
1
0
4
6
0-1
0%
9-20
9-16
45%
52%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
36.2
24.5
27
55%
8
4
1
1
0
3
4
4
1-1
100%
10-19
3-6
53%
47%
2-5
40%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.8
16.9
18.7
6
60%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
13.7
20.6
7
72%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
3-4
4-7
75%
54%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
11.9
19.1
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
1.8
4.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.9
10.9
0
1-3
44%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
8.6
0
0-1
50%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 31.9
6.7
0
0-1
45%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.3
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.