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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 8, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks28%92105
18Bulls72%100100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
45.3
41.0
24
56%
2
5
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-1
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
44%
3-7
43%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
40.5
33.1
18
61%
3
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
3-6
50%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.1
36.7
31.7
29
79%
8
1
0
0
4
1
1
7
7-10
70%
11-14
7-12
79%
54%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
25.9
24.2
9
46%
9
1
1
1
0
4
3
6
1-2
50%
4-9
5-11
44%
46%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
11.7
17.4
5
64%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-3
33%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
29.5
29.3
7
39%
7
10
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
43%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
27.5
24.1
11
71%
8
3
0
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
4-6
4-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
19.1
13.8
0
0%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
3.9
10.7
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
37%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
9.5
0
1-1
44%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
6.9
0
1-1
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.7
4.0
0
1-1
44%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
43.8
35.1
20
57%
1
9
2
1
1
1
0
1
6-6
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
48%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
37.9
34.5
4
33%
10
3
2
1
1
0
5
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
34.1
27.5
22
58%
12
1
1
1
1
1
5
7
0-0
-
11-18
5-11
61%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
27.0
23.7
9
53%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
15.8
25.7
7
29%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
52%
1-6
17%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
33.7
34.7
21
62%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
48%
3-4
75%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
21.0
11.3
2
14%
5
1
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
13.9
8.5
3
31%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
9.9
8.0
12
82%
4
0
0
0
0
2
3
1
2-3
67%
5-6
1-3
83%
54%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
2.9
7.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
4.4
0
1-1
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.3
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.