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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2376ers23%8996
13Raptors77%98109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
37.9
36.4
14
44%
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
4-4
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
33.5
37.0
16
53%
7
2
1
2
0
5
3
4
5-5
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
48%
1-5
20%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
33.4
29.1
18
44%
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
3-3
100%
6-14
4-10
43%
43%
1-5
20%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
31.2
35.8
8
67%
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
4-6
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
25.1
22.9
6
45%
9
2
1
1
0
1
5
4
2-6
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.6
28.1
16.7
16
70%
4
0
2
1
1
1
2
2
1-1
100%
6-10
2-5
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
24.6
24.6
10
39%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
3-8
44%
43%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.9
12.8
14.0
8
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-1
0%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
7.0
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
6.5
10.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.8
10.7
0
1-3
46%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
3.8
0
0-1
39%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
40.8
38.6
17
78%
6
9
2
1
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-5
5-9
60%
55%
3-5
60%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.6
40.6
34.6
8
44%
9
2
0
1
5
3
1
8
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
0-2
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.6
31.4
34.3
22
93%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
4-6
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.8
25.1
39.7
21
83%
1
3
1
1
3
2
0
1
5-6
83%
8-10
9-17
80%
50%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.2
17.4
27.9
6
51%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.4
20.9
15.5
12
61%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.6
20.4
10.8
8
80%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.9
16.6
14.1
8
40%
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
14.9
3.1
7
39%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
0-1
38%
50%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.3
7.2
7.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
4.6
10.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
1.4
0
0-0
58%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.