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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets69%98101
28Knicks31%9192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
42.2
39.0
20
56%
6
8
2
1
0
5
0
6
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
46%
3-7
43%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.3
41.6
37.0
36
72%
11
3
0
1
2
2
2
9
8-9
89%
14-21
9-16
67%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.3
38.8
37.2
6
38%
5
5
2
1
5
0
3
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
35.6
29.7
12
51%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
25.6
24.7
4
67%
13
1
2
1
0
2
4
9
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
59%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
28.9
18.6
19
49%
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
9-18
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
16.6
23.3
2
26%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
10.8
16.7
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.5
6.1
0
0-1
51%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
3.7
0
0-0
52%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.5
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
40.4
35.8
15
41%
5
6
1
1
0
3
3
2
2-5
40%
5-12
4-8
42%
45%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
40.2
42.2
21
53%
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
6-13
5-11
46%
44%
3-7
43%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
29.5
25.1
10
46%
11
0
1
1
0
2
1
10
2-2
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
45%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.1
26.4
33.4
14
55%
4
0
0
0
1
3
3
1
4-6
67%
5-10
7-13
50%
54%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.7
23.4
15.1
2
26%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
31.8
25.6
12
64%
7
1
2
1
0
3
3
4
0-1
0%
6-9
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
31.4
29.1
16
74%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
3-3
100%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
9.1
16.3
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.1
7.9
7.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
37%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.8
6.8
0
0-1
44%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.4
5.8
0
0-1
39%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
4.4
0
0-1
49%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.7
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.