Final Win Prob. pScore
348%94
86
552%95
102
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
103.68382.2
DAL logo Mavericks
122.98383.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL86
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)86
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETPistons Rebound85
102
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 285
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0DALHassell S.FOUL (P1.PN)85
102
Q4 - 0:21.0DALBass L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)85
102
Q4 - 0:23.0DETMISS Stuckey Jump Shot85
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETPistons Rebound85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)85
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound85
101
Q4 - 0:31.0DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 285
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETBrezec S.FOUL (P1.PN)85
101
Q4 - 0:51.0DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Herrmann 21' Jump Shot85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T13)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)85
101
Q4 - 1:29DETAfflalo Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)85
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31DALGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:54DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56DETMISS Afflalo Layup83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59DETMISS Stuckey Driving Finger Roll Layup83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12DALSUB: Hassell FOR Harris83
101
Q4 - 2:12DALSUB: Howard FOR Howard83
101
Q4 - 2:1283
101
Q4 - 2:12DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.T2)83
101
Q4 - 2:17DALGeorge 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)83
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DETJohnson Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47DETMISS Stuckey Running Layup81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52DALGeorge Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11DETAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DETSUB: Johnson FOR Hayes78
99
Q4 - 3:29DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier78
98
Q4 - 3:29DALSUB: George FOR Jones78
98
Q4 - 3:29DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki78
97
Q4 - 3:29DETHerrmann S.FOUL (P2.T4)78
97
Q4 - 3:48DETAfflalo 19' Fadeaway Jumper (3 PTS) (Hayes 2 AST)78
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51DALSUB: Harris FOR Terry76
97
Q4 - 4:13DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)76
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32DETMISS Stuckey 20' Jump Shot76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DETAfflalo Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)76
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45DALDampier HANGING.TECH.FOUL (P0.T1)75
95
Q4 - 4:47DALDampier Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)75
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 5:02DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)74
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:02DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.T1)73
93
Q4 - 5:14DETBrezec REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:15DETDampier BLOCK (3 BLK)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 5:32DALHoward Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Dampier 2 AST)73
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:54DETHayes 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Herrmann 4 AST)73
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:07DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:08DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot71
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:34DETStuckey 16' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:40DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)69
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47DETMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot69
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)69
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 7:14DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Maxiell69
88
Q4 - 7:14DETSUB: Brezec FOR Hamilton69
88
Q4 - 7:14DALSUB: Jones FOR Bass69
88
Q4 - 7:14DALSUB: Terry FOR Stackhouse69
88
Q4 - 7:14DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Harris69
88
Q4 - 7:14DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)69
88
Q4 - 7:20DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:21DETMISS Maxiell 8' Fadeaway Jumper69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:27DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:28DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:45DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P4.T10)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 7:45DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P3)69
88
Q4 - 7:48DETPistons Rebound69
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q4 - 7:48DETDampier BLOCK (2 BLK)69
0.5%
88
99.5%
Q4 - 8:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:08DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 8:16DETStuckey P.FOUL (P4.T3)69
88
Q4 - 8:32DETHamilton Foul Turnover (P3.T9)69
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 8:32DETHamilton OFF.Foul (P2)69
88
Q4 - 8:43DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 8:43DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)69
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 8:43DALSUB: Howard FOR Terry69
86
Q4 - 8:43DETHayes S.FOUL (P1.T2)69
86
Q4 - 9:09DETHamilton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Herrmann 3 AST)69
1.6%
86
98.4%
Q4 - 9:29DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Wallace67
86
Q4 - 9:29DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)67
86
Q4 - 9:32DALTerry Running Layup (12 PTS)67
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:38DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
1.6%
84
98.4%
Q4 - 9:39DETMISS Stuckey 7' Running Bank Hook Shot67
1.7%
84
98.3%
Q4 - 9:55DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Stackhouse 2 AST)67
2.0%
84
98.0%
Q4 - 10:20DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Billups67
82
Q4 - 10:20DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki67
82
Q4 - 10:20DALMAVERICKS Rebound67
82
Q4 - 10:20DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical67
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 10:20DETMaxiell T.FOUL (P1.T1)67
82
Q4 - 10:20DETMaxiell L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)67
82
Q4 - 10:20DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 10:20DETMISS Wallace 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot67
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 10:29DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)67
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 10:31DETNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)67
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 10:49DETHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
3.8%
82
96.2%
Q4 - 10:51DETMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 11:05DALHarris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T8)67
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 11:22DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 11:40DALHarris 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)65
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 12:0065
79
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0DETStuckey P.FOUL (P3.T3)65
79
Q3 - 0:04.0DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)65
5.3%
79
94.7%
Q3 - 0:04.0DETPistons Rebound64
79
Q3 - 0:04.0DETMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 264
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALHarris S.FOUL (P3.PN)64
79
Q3 - 0:23.0DALStackhouse 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)64
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0DETWallace 7' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)64
7.7%
76
92.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)62
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 1:06DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 1:06DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 1:06DALHarris S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
73
Q3 - 1:25DALNowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stackhouse 1 AST)60
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 1:48DETBillups 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)60
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 1:50DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)58
9.7%
70
90.3%
Q3 - 1:52DETMISS Maxiell 7' Hook Shot58
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 2:12DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)58
10.7%
70
89.3%
Q3 - 2:12DETStuckey S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
69
Q3 - 2:12DALHarris 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
69
Q3 - 2:26DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 2:26DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier57
67
Q3 - 2:26DALSUB: Harris FOR Howard57
67
Q3 - 2:26DETMaxiell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 2:26DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Hamilton56
67
Q3 - 2:26DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.T4)56
67
Q3 - 2:31DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)56
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q3 - 2:33DALMISS Stackhouse 13' Jump Shot56
12.0%
67
88.0%
Q3 - 2:40DETTerry STEAL (1 STL)56
10.7%
67
89.3%
Q3 - 2:43DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)56
12.6%
67
87.4%
Q3 - 2:45DALMISS Howard 5' Running Jump Shot56
12.0%
67
88.0%
Q3 - 3:12DETBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)56
11.6%
67
88.4%
Q3 - 3:18DALTerry Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)53
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q3 - 3:26DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)53
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q3 - 3:27DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot53
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 3:46DALTerry 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)53
8.4%
67
91.6%
Q3 - 3:49DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T1)53
65
Q3 - 4:03DETWallace 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)53
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 4:15DALTerry P.FOUL (P1.T3)51
65
Q3 - 4:34DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)51
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 4:35DETMISS Wallace 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot51
7.9%
65
92.1%
Q3 - 4:46DETSUB: Maxiell FOR McDyess51
65
Q3 - 4:46DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Jones51
65
Q3 - 4:46DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)51
65
Q3 - 4:54DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
9.0%
65
91.0%
Q3 - 5:09DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 5:12DETMISS Billups 12' Running Jump Shot51
13.5%
62
86.5%
Q3 - 5:35DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)51
15.1%
62
84.9%
Q3 - 5:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q3 - 5:45DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot51
17.8%
60
82.2%
Q3 - 6:01DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)51
20.7%
60
79.3%
Q3 - 6:24DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)51
26.2%
57
73.8%
Q3 - 6:24DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris50
57
Q3 - 6:24DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 6:24DALHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)49
57
Q3 - 6:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q3 - 6:36DALMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
22.4%
57
77.6%
Q3 - 7:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 7:02DETMISS Hamilton 22' Jump Shot49
22.1%
57
77.9%
Q3 - 7:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q3 - 7:13DALMISS Harris Driving Layup49
23.1%
57
76.9%
Q3 - 7:31DETBillups 17' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)49
21.2%
57
78.8%
Q3 - 7:47DALHarris Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)47
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q3 - 7:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 7:58DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot47
17.1%
57
82.9%
Q3 - 8:12DALNowitzki L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)47
57
Q3 - 8:12DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)47
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS McDyess 19' Jump Shot47
17.6%
57
82.4%
Q3 - 8:22DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)47
57
Q3 - 8:34DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)47
19.3%
57
80.7%
Q3 - 8:47DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)47
24.2%
54
75.8%
Q3 - 9:02DALNowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)45
22.2%
54
77.8%
Q3 - 9:18DETHamilton 7' Running Hook Shot (14 PTS)45
24.7%
52
75.3%
Q3 - 9:36DALHarris Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)43
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q3 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
24.7%
50
75.3%
Q3 - 9:45DETMISS Billups 23' Jump Shot43
25.6%
50
74.4%
Q3 - 9:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)43
27.6%
50
72.4%
Q3 - 9:56DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q3 - 10:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound43
25.4%
50
74.6%
Q3 - 10:16DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot43
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q3 - 10:34DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)43
28.2%
50
71.8%
Q3 - 10:50DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
31.1%
48
68.9%
Q3 - 10:52DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot43
32.1%
48
67.9%
Q3 - 11:11DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)43
35.0%
48
65.0%
Q3 - 11:12DALMISS Howard 5' Running Bank Shot43
33.9%
48
66.1%
Q3 - 11:35DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)43
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q3 - 11:35DETPistons Rebound43
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 11:35DETDampier BLOCK (1 BLK)43
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q3 - 11:36DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 11:37DETMISS Wallace 15' Jump Shot43
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q3 - 12:0043
48
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL43
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETHamilton 9' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)43
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 0:04.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0DETMISS Billups 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 0:28.0DALMISS Terry 13' Pullup Jump Shot41
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
27.0%
48
73.0%
Q2 - 0:39.0DETMISS Herrmann 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
27.7%
48
72.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0DALStackhouse Driving Layup (12 PTS)41
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 1:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
32.6%
46
67.4%
Q2 - 1:01DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot41
33.8%
46
66.2%
Q2 - 1:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q2 - 1:10DALMISS Nowitzki Driving Layup41
34.7%
46
65.3%
Q2 - 1:31DETBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Herrmann 2 AST)41
33.2%
46
66.8%
Q2 - 1:50DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 1:52DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
26.3%
46
73.7%
Q2 - 1:56DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)38
25.1%
46
74.9%
Q2 - 1:56DALMISS Stackhouse Driving Reverse Layup38
26.3%
46
73.7%
Q2 - 2:16DALMAVERICKS Rebound38
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 2:17DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Floating Jump Shot38
27.0%
46
73.0%
Q2 - 2:31DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 2:32DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot38
26.0%
46
74.0%
Q2 - 2:40DETHerrmann REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
27.7%
46
72.3%
Q2 - 2:41DALMISS Diop 6' Jump Hook Shot38
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 2:42DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
25.2%
46
74.8%
Q2 - 2:43DALMISS Diop 7' Hook Shot38
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 3:06DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Herrmann 1 AST)38
25.5%
46
74.5%
Q2 - 3:14DETSUB: Billups FOR Stuckey35
46
Q2 - 3:14DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes35
46
Q2 - 3:14DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris35
46
Q2 - 3:14DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)35
46
Q2 - 3:26DALHoward 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
21.4%
46
78.6%
Q2 - 3:40DETWallace Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)35
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 3:40DETPistons Rebound35
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 3:42DETMISS Wallace 8' Jump Shot35
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 4:02DALHarris Driving Layup (4 PTS)35
26.2%
44
73.8%
Q2 - 4:17DETHerrmann 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)35
28.4%
42
71.6%
Q2 - 4:29DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T5)32
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 4:29DALNowitzki OFF.Foul (P1)32
42
Q2 - 4:36DETHerrmann P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
42
Q2 - 4:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
21.6%
42
78.4%
Q2 - 4:51DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot32
22.3%
42
77.7%
Q2 - 4:56DALSUB: Diop FOR Bass32
42
Q2 - 4:56DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Jones32
42
Q2 - 4:56DALHarris P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
42
Q2 - 5:01DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 5:02DALMISS Bass Running Layup32
23.9%
42
76.1%
Q2 - 5:22DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Dampier32
42
Q2 - 5:22DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
42
Q2 - 5:23DETHayes Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)32
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 5:27DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)30
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 5:48DETStuckey Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS)30
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 5:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
16.7%
42
83.3%
Q2 - 5:57DALMISS Bass 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 6:12DETHerrmann Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)28
15.6%
42
84.4%
Q2 - 6:28DALBass 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (8 PTS)28
17.5%
42
82.5%
Q2 - 6:52DETHamilton Driving Layup (10 PTS)28
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 6:58DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 6:59DALMISS Howard Driving Finger Roll Layup26
16.9%
40
83.1%
Q2 - 7:17DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
16.1%
40
83.9%
Q2 - 7:17DETPistons Rebound26
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 7:17DETMISS Herrmann 12' Fadeaway Jumper26
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 7:42DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 7:43DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 126
17.5%
40
82.5%
Q2 - 7:43DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Afflalo26
40
Q2 - 7:43DETSUB: Herrmann FOR Maxiell26
40
Q2 - 7:4326
40
Q2 - 7:43DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
40
Q2 - 7:43DALBass Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)26
40
Q2 - 8:05DETStuckey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
20.2%
38
79.8%
Q2 - 8:25DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)24
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 8:25DALDampier Reverse Layup (5 PTS)24
18.4%
38
81.6%
Q2 - 8:26DALMISS Bass 7' Running Jump Shot24
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 8:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 8:50DETMISS Maxiell 14' Fadeaway Jumper24
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 9:16DALBass 9' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)24
22.3%
36
77.7%
Q2 - 9:33DALSUB: Jones FOR Stackhouse24
34
Q2 - 9:33DALSUB: Howard FOR Terry24
34
Q2 - 9:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound24
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 9:35DALMISS Terry Driving Layup24
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 9:52DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 9:53DETMISS Stuckey 4' Running Jump Shot24
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 10:05DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Wallace 16' Jump Shot24
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 10:24DALBass 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)24
26.7%
34
73.3%
Q2 - 10:44DETMaxiell Dunk (2 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)24
28.7%
32
71.3%
Q2 - 10:59DALSUB: Dampier FOR Diop22
32
Q2 - 10:59DETSUB: Wallace FOR Billups22
32
Q2 - 10:59DETSUB: Stuckey FOR McDyess22
32
Q2 - 10:59DALDiop L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)22
32
Q2 - 10:59DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.7%
32
73.3%
Q2 - 10:59DALMISS Harris 13' Jump Shot22
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 11:12DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 11:13DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot22
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 11:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
27.2%
32
72.8%
Q2 - 11:25DALMISS Stackhouse 16' Jump Shot22
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 11:47DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)22
25.1%
32
74.9%
Q2 - 12:0020
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL20
23.3%
32
76.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET20
32
Q1 - 0:00.0DETBillups 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
21.5%
32
78.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q1 - 0:27.0DALStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)17
18.8%
32
81.2%
Q1 - 0:37.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0DETMISS Prince 5' Jump Hook Shot17
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)17
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETMISS Billups 20' Jump Shot17
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETMISS Billups Layup17
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q1 - 1:05DALTerry 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)17
24.5%
29
75.5%
Q1 - 1:08DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q1 - 1:09DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot17
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 1:27DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
26.8%
27
73.2%
Q1 - 1:27DETPistons Rebound16
27
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 216
26.6%
27
73.4%
Q1 - 1:27DETSUB: Afflalo FOR Hamilton16
27
Q1 - 1:27DALSUB: Harris FOR Howard16
27
Q1 - 1:27DALDiop P.FOUL (P1.T2)16
27
Q1 - 1:33DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 1:34DALMISS Howard 17' Pullup Jump Shot16
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 1:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
24.9%
27
75.1%
Q1 - 1:49DETMISS Maxiell Driving Finger Roll Layup16
25.3%
27
74.7%
Q1 - 1:55DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 2:08DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 2:09DETMISS Prince 19' Jump Shot16
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 2:27DALStackhouse 11' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)16
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 2:47DETHamilton 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)16
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q1 - 2:57DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
25
Q1 - 3:05DALStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)14
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q1 - 3:18DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
31.1%
22
68.9%
Q1 - 3:19DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot14
31.7%
22
68.3%
Q1 - 3:31DALStackhouse 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)14
33.1%
22
66.9%
Q1 - 3:50DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)14
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 3:56DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier12
20
Q1 - 3:56DALHoward P.FOUL (P1.T1)12
20
Q1 - 4:11DALNowitzki 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)12
34.5%
20
65.5%
Q1 - 4:32DETMcDyess 17' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)12
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 4:49DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)10
34.7%
18
65.3%
Q1 - 5:02DETMcDyess 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)10
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 5:22DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dampier 1 AST)8
35.3%
16
64.7%
Q1 - 5:27DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
36.8%
14
63.2%
Q1 - 5:29DALMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot8
38.2%
14
61.8%
Q1 - 5:48DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris8
14
Q1 - 5:48DALSUB: Stackhouse FOR Jones8
14
Q1 - 5:48DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)8
14
Q1 - 5:48DETHamilton L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)8
14
Q1 - 5:48DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
37.0%
14
63.0%
Q1 - 5:49DALMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.4%
14
61.6%
Q1 - 6:04DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
37.4%
14
62.6%
Q1 - 6:05DETMISS McDyess Driving Layup8
37.9%
14
62.1%
Q1 - 6:22DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
39.3%
14
60.7%
Q1 - 6:22DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace8
13
Q1 - 6:22DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T2)8
13
Q1 - 6:22DALDampier Layup (2 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 6:28DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
42.7%
11
57.3%
Q1 - 6:30DALMISS Nowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
44.0%
11
56.0%
Q1 - 6:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 6:43DETHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)8
43.3%
11
56.7%
Q1 - 7:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)8
44.7%
11
55.3%
Q1 - 7:02DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
10
Q1 - 7:02DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)8
10
Q1 - 7:15DETHamilton 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 7:38DALHoward 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
46.5%
8
53.5%
Q1 - 7:53DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
48.0%
6
52.0%
Q1 - 7:54DETMISS Billups 21' Jump Shot6
48.5%
6
51.5%
Q1 - 8:05DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
49.6%
6
50.4%
Q1 - 8:07DALMISS Howard 20' Step Back Jump Shot6
49.1%
6
50.9%
Q1 - 8:24DETHamilton Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)6
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 8:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
49.5%
6
50.5%
Q1 - 8:36DALMISS Harris Running Layup6
49.0%
6
51.0%
Q1 - 8:49DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
48.1%
6
51.9%
Q1 - 8:51DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 8:52DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot4
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 9:01DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 9:09DETJones STEAL (1 STL)4
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 9:24DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 9:25DALMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot4
46.8%
6
53.2%
Q1 - 9:39DETPrince 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
46.2%
6
53.8%
Q1 - 10:08DALNowitzki Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
45.8%
6
54.2%
Q1 - 10:18DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
4
53.3%
Q1 - 10:20DETMISS Prince Driving Dunk2
47.0%
4
53.0%
Q1 - 10:45DALHarris 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 10:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.3%
2
51.7%
Q1 - 10:53DETMISS Billups 8' Turnaround Jump Shot2
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 11:15DALJones Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)2
48.6%
2
51.4%
Q1 - 11:29DETBillups 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
48.8%
0
51.2%
Q1 - 11:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
48.4%
0
51.6%
Q1 - 11:45DALMISS Harris 17' Jump Shot0
48.3%
0
51.7%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Wallace: Tip to Harris0
48.2%
0
51.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETDAL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.91 45.7%
DAL
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
6
18
33%
DAL
11
20
55%
Midrange
DET
22
55
40%
DAL
21
38
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
DAL
10
15.0
16
63%
94%
Free Throws
DET
12
15
80%
DAL
8
11
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton1850%9.0 / 18
C. Billups1653%8.0 / 15
R. Stuckey1042%5.0 / 12
R. Wallace950%4.5 / 9
A. Afflalo857%4.0 / 7
T. Prince633%3.0 / 9
A. McDyess638%3.0 / 8
J. Maxiell433%2.0 / 6
J. Hayes467%2.0 / 3
W. Herrmann338%1.5 / 4
A. Johnson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2377%11.5 / 15
D. Harris1973%9.5 / 13
J. Terry1594%7.5 / 8
J. Stackhouse1575%7.5 / 10
J. Howard1038%5.0 / 13
B. Bass857%4.0 / 7
E. Dampier7117%3.5 / 3
E. Jones225%1.0 / 4
D. George2100%1.0 / 1
D. Diop117%0.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
75
+19
-8
94
DAL
70
+9
-13
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.91 45.7%
DAL
1.26 63.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
110.6
DET 103.6
DAL 122.9 +19.3
Pace
88.2
90.6
DET 82.2
DAL 83.8 +1.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.4
DET 17.5
DAL 17.2 −0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
50.2%
DET 43.5%
DAL 63.5% +20.0%
TO %
12.6%
13.3%
DET 9.8% −4.4%
DAL 14.2%
ORB %
29.4%
26.8%
DET 31.1% +8.5%
DAL 22.6%
FTrt
30.0
31.8
DET 17.6 +2.7
DAL 14.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
56.9%
DET 50.0% +4.8%
DAL 45.2%
STL %
8.1%
6.6%
DET 10.8% +7.2%
DAL 3.6%
BLK %
9.4%
7.5%
DET 8.6% +1.8%
DAL 6.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.9%
DET 45.7%
DAL 63.0% +17.3%
Rim FG%
60.1%
58.5%
DET 33.3%
DAL 55.0% +21.7%
Mid FG%
41.7%
44.3%
DET 40.0%
DAL 55.3% +15.3%
3P %
36.6%
35.2%
DET 50.0%
DAL 62.5% +12.5%
FT %
76.7%
81.4%
DET 80.0% +7.3%
DAL 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
28.9%
DET 21.2%
DAL 27.0% +5.9%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
49.6%
DET 64.7%
DAL 51.4% −13.4%
3P Att. %
20.3%
21.5%
DET 14.1%
DAL 21.6% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDETDAL
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes24.223.8
Points86102
Rebounds3838
Assists1719
Steals93
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)31 (1)
Field Goals34-8542-74
At-the-Rim FG6-1811-20
Midrange FG22-5521-38
2-Point FG28-7332-58
3-Point FG6-1210-16
Free Throws12-158-11
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
31.1
9
50%
11
0
0
3
2
2
1
10
0-0
-
3-8
38%
1-1
100%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
30.9
18
50%
3
3
2
0
4
3
1
2
0-0
-
9-17
53%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
29.9
16
53%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-10
30%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
27.2
6
33%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
20.3
6
38%
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
22.2
10
42%
1
1
3
0
0
4
0
1
4-6
67%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
20.2
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
17.3
4
67%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
17.2
3
38%
2
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
13.0
8
57%
3
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
3.5
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#6 · G · 6'3" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'2" 195 · 37
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
46%
38
17
9
5
8
0
14
24
12-15
80%
28-73
38%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.