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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Warriors53%10291
16Trail Blazers47%101109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.2
25.1
37.5
10
56%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
16.8
17.8
2
14%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
16.6
39.4
5
28%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.7
13.9
41.1
4
29%
1
1
0
2
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-4
5-11
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
13.2
31.6
2
33%
7
0
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-8
33%
62%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
30.3
20.3
13
47%
6
1
3
1
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
1-6
1-3
17%
51%
3-6
50%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.7
30.0
7.4
11
62%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-7
1-2
43%
43%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.8
24.8
16.1
14
65%
6
1
0
1
1
0
1
5
4-4
100%
5-6
1-2
83%
48%
0-3
0%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
23.0
4.2
7
44%
9
2
0
0
0
2
1
8
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
16.9
25.4
8
50%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
16.2
3.3
6
51%
6
0
0
0
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
13.1
2.1
9
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.9
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
31.4
34.1
19
57%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
8-15
8-15
53%
52%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.5
29.2
26.3
8
33%
8
8
0
1
0
3
1
7
0-0
-
4-10
5-9
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.1
26.1
23.9
16
89%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
4-6
67%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.9
22.7
25.4
24
106%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
5-6
83%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.2
21.8
17.7
10
74%
10
2
2
0
2
1
2
8
4-4
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
24.5
30.0
2
20%
4
5
1
1
0
6
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.3
24.0
23.3
16
86%
3
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
3-5
60%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.3
22.2
25.1
8
40%
8
1
3
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.6
19.7
17.0
1
10%
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
4
1-2
50%
0-4
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.6
12.8
12.1
5
43%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.1
5.5
2.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.6
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.9
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.