Final Win Prob. pScore
431%90
90
269%96
80
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo Pistons
105.98581.7
SAS logo Spurs
94.18588.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS90
100%
80
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETPistons Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0SASElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0DETMISS Hayes 19' Jump Shot90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)90
80
Q4 - 0:51.0SASElson 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)90
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09DETWallace Dunk (23 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)90
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASElson 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)88
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 1:27SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker88
76
Q4 - 1:27SASSUB: Richardson FOR Ginobili88
76
Q4 - 1:27SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan88
76
Q4 - 1:27SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)88
76
Q4 - 1:30DETWallace 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)88
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 1:46DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)86
76
Q4 - 1:47DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)86
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 1:49SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot86
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 1:58DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 1:58DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)85
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 1:58SASGinobili P.FOUL (P2.PN)84
76
Q4 - 2:00SASParker 3' Driving Layup (12 PTS)84
98.2%
76
1.8%
Q4 - 2:10DETHayes 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)84
98.8%
74
1.2%
Q4 - 2:30SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)82
98.4%
74
1.6%
Q4 - 2:30SASSPURS Rebound82
73
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 282
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 2:30DETSUB: Hayes FOR McDyess82
73
Q4 - 2:30DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P6.PN)82
73
Q4 - 2:30DETGinobili STEAL (1 STL)82
98.2%
73
1.8%
Q4 - 2:48SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)82
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 2:48SASSUB: Udoka FOR Oberto82
72
Q4 - 2:48DETSUB: McDyess FOR Maxiell82
72
Q4 - 2:48DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)82
72
Q4 - 2:48DETHamilton S.FOUL (P3.PN)82
72
Q4 - 2:48SASParker 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)82
72
Q4 - 3:02DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS)82
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 3:20DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
99.0%
70
1.0%
Q4 - 3:22SASMISS Ginobili 2' Driving Layup80
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 3:37SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)80
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 3:38DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 4:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 4:02SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot80
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q4 - 4:23DETBillups Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)80
96.7%
70
3.3%
Q4 - 4:23DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 4:23DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot80
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 4:40SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)80
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 4:40DETSUB: Maxiell FOR McDyess80
69
Q4 - 4:40SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
98.0%
69
2.0%
Q4 - 4:40DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P5.T4)80
68
Q4 - 4:42SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)80
98.5%
68
1.5%
Q4 - 4:43SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot80
98.8%
68
1.2%
Q4 - 5:03DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
97.1%
68
2.9%
Q4 - 5:03DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)79
96.9%
68
3.1%
Q4 - 5:03SASOberto L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)78
68
Q4 - 5:03DETPistons Rebound78
96.0%
68
4.0%
Q4 - 5:03DETMISS McDyess 18' Jump Shot78
95.0%
68
5.0%
Q4 - 5:19SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
96.1%
68
3.9%
Q4 - 5:19SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q4 - 5:19DETWallace S.FOUL (P3.T3)78
66
Q4 - 5:31SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)78
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 278
97.3%
66
2.7%
Q4 - 5:33DETPistons Rebound78
66
Q4 - 5:33DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 1 of 278
97.8%
66
2.2%
Q4 - 5:33SASGinobili P.FOUL (P1.PN)78
66
Q4 - 5:42SASParker P.FOUL (P1.T4)78
66
Q4 - 5:45SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Vaughn78
66
Q4 - 5:45DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Hunter78
66
Q4 - 5:45DETSUB: Prince FOR Hayes78
66
Q4 - 5:4578
66
Q4 - 5:45DETPistons Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)78
66
Q4 - 5:53SASVaughn 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)78
98.0%
66
2.0%
Q4 - 6:08DETHunter 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)78
97.6%
64
2.4%
Q4 - 6:13SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)76
96.8%
64
3.2%
Q4 - 6:17DETSUB: Wallace FOR Maxiell76
64
Q4 - 6:17SASSUB: Oberto FOR Bonner76
64
Q4 - 6:17DETHunter P.FOUL (P2.T2)76
64
Q4 - 6:26SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
95.7%
64
4.3%
Q4 - 6:27DETMISS Hunter 20' Jump Shot76
96.1%
64
3.9%
Q4 - 6:54SASParker 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Duncan 5 AST)76
96.9%
64
3.1%
Q4 - 7:11DETFinley STEAL (2 STL)76
96.5%
62
3.5%
Q4 - 7:31SASVaughn Foul Turnover (P2.T13)76
97.4%
62
2.6%
Q4 - 7:31SASVaughn OFF.Foul (P4)76
62
Q4 - 7:41DETHunter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)76
96.6%
62
3.4%
Q4 - 7:55SASBonner L.B.FOUL (P3.T3)73
62
Q4 - 7:55DETPistons Rebound73
94.3%
62
5.7%
Q4 - 7:55DETMISS McDyess 15' Jump Shot73
93.1%
62
6.9%
Q4 - 8:14DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
92.6%
62
7.4%
Q4 - 8:16SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot73
92.1%
62
7.9%
Q4 - 8:28SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson73
62
Q4 - 8:28SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili73
62
Q4 - 8:28SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)73
62
Q4 - 8:28DETMcDyess 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 5 AST)73
90.8%
62
9.2%
Q4 - 8:48DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
88.3%
62
11.7%
Q4 - 8:49SASMISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
87.5%
62
12.5%
Q4 - 9:10DETHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q4 - 9:10DETSUB: Billups FOR Hamilton70
62
Q4 - 9:10DETHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)70
82.5%
62
17.5%
Q4 - 9:10SASVaughn S.FOUL (P3.T2)69
62
Q4 - 9:22DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
79.3%
62
20.7%
Q4 - 9:23SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot69
78.1%
62
21.9%
Q4 - 9:32SASJump Ball Vaughn vs. Hunter: Tip to69
62
Q4 - 9:46DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P2.T6)69
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q4 - 9:46DETMaxiell OFF.Foul (P1)69
62
Q4 - 9:54SASBonner Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)69
79.4%
62
20.6%
Q4 - 9:55SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
75.4%
62
24.6%
Q4 - 9:58DETBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)69
76.7%
62
23.3%
Q4 - 10:20SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
77.1%
62
22.9%
Q4 - 10:20SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan69
61
Q4 - 10:20SASVaughn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
77.9%
61
22.1%
Q4 - 10:20DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace69
60
Q4 - 10:20DETSUB: Hayes FOR Prince69
60
Q4 - 10:20DETHunter S.FOUL (P1.T1)69
60
Q4 - 10:24SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)69
80.9%
60
19.1%
Q4 - 10:25DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot69
82.0%
60
18.0%
Q4 - 10:27DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)69
84.1%
60
15.9%
Q4 - 10:29DETGinobili BLOCK (1 BLK)69
82.0%
60
18.0%
Q4 - 10:47SASFinley 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Duncan 4 AST)69
84.2%
60
15.8%
Q4 - 10:52SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)69
87.1%
58
12.9%
Q4 - 10:53DETMISS Prince 21' Jump Shot69
87.8%
58
12.2%
Q4 - 11:06DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)69
87.5%
58
12.5%
Q4 - 11:07SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
86.8%
58
13.2%
Q4 - 11:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)69
85.2%
58
14.8%
Q4 - 11:14SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot69
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q4 - 11:20SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
85.2%
58
14.8%
Q4 - 11:22DETMISS Prince 6' Jump Shot69
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q4 - 11:29DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)69
87.6%
58
12.4%
Q4 - 11:30SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup69
86.9%
58
13.1%
Q4 - 11:47DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
85.3%
58
14.7%
Q4 - 11:47DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
84.7%
58
15.3%
Q4 - 11:47SASDuncan S.FOUL (P2.T1)67
58
Q4 - 12:0067
58
Q3 - 0:00.0DET67
82.2%
58
17.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)67
82.2%
58
17.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
81.3%
58
18.7%
Q3 - 0:10.0DETBillups 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
77.2%
58
22.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
73.0%
58
27.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
72.0%
58
28.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
69.4%
58
30.6%
Q3 - 0:44.0DETMISS Wallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
70.6%
58
29.4%
Q3 - 1:00SASVaughn 1' Layup (6 PTS)65
73.1%
58
26.9%
Q3 - 1:14DETWallace 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (15 PTS)65
75.7%
56
24.3%
Q3 - 1:33SASDuncan Dunk (22 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)63
71.6%
56
28.4%
Q3 - 1:40SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 1:41DETMISS Maxiell 3' Dunk63
76.8%
54
23.2%
Q3 - 1:45DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
78.9%
54
21.1%
Q3 - 1:48DETMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
76.8%
54
23.2%
Q3 - 2:11DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)63
77.0%
54
23.0%
Q3 - 2:12SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
75.9%
54
24.1%
Q3 - 2:23DETDuncan STEAL (1 STL)63
73.6%
54
26.4%
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
77.1%
54
22.9%
Q3 - 2:41SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen63
53
Q3 - 2:41SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)63
77.6%
53
22.4%
Q3 - 2:41SASSUB: Bonner FOR Oberto63
52
Q3 - 2:41DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)63
52
Q3 - 2:41DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.PN)63
52
Q3 - 2:44SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
80.3%
52
19.7%
Q3 - 2:45DETMISS Prince 2' Layup63
81.2%
52
18.8%
Q3 - 3:09SASGinobili 3' Layup (6 PTS)63
81.3%
52
18.7%
Q3 - 3:24DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
83.8%
50
16.2%
Q3 - 3:24DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)62
83.5%
50
16.5%
Q3 - 3:24SASVaughn S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
50
Q3 - 3:26SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)61
81.4%
50
18.6%
Q3 - 3:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 3:36SASMISS Ginobili 3PT Jump Shot61
80.5%
50
19.5%
Q3 - 3:39SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 3:43SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 161
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q3 - 3:43SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker61
50
Q3 - 3:43DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.T4)61
50
Q3 - 3:43SASDuncan 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)61
50
Q3 - 3:55SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
83.8%
48
16.2%
Q3 - 3:56DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot61
84.6%
48
15.4%
Q3 - 4:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)61
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 4:09SASMISS Ginobili 2' Tip Shot61
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 4:12SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 4:13SASMISS Ginobili 2' Layup61
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 4:29SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
82.5%
48
17.5%
Q3 - 4:31DETMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot61
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 4:56DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
85.3%
48
14.7%
Q3 - 4:56SASMISS Parker 7' Floating Jump Shot61
84.5%
48
15.5%
Q3 - 5:15SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
80.8%
48
19.2%
Q3 - 5:16DETMISS Wallace 7' Jump Shot61
81.6%
48
18.4%
Q3 - 5:36SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)61
83.6%
48
16.4%
Q3 - 5:36SASSPURS Rebound61
47
Q3 - 5:36SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 261
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q3 - 5:36SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley61
47
Q3 - 5:36SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
47
Q3 - 5:36DETBillups S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
47
Q3 - 5:39SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
83.3%
47
16.7%
Q3 - 5:40DETDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)61
84.1%
47
15.9%
Q3 - 6:06SASDuncan 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
84.3%
47
15.7%
Q3 - 6:33DETPrince 1' Dunk (15 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)61
86.2%
45
13.8%
Q3 - 6:52SASDuncan 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)59
84.4%
45
15.6%
Q3 - 7:21DETWallace 3' Layup (13 PTS)59
84.5%
43
15.5%
Q3 - 7:24DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)57
82.5%
43
17.5%
Q3 - 7:26DETMISS Maxiell 4' Jump Shot57
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q3 - 7:34SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)57
82.6%
43
17.4%
Q3 - 7:40SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
80.2%
43
19.8%
Q3 - 7:41DETMISS Prince 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
80.9%
43
19.1%
Q3 - 8:08SASDuncan 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
81.6%
43
18.4%
Q3 - 8:18DETWallace P.FOUL (P2.T2)57
41
Q3 - 8:30DETSUB: Maxiell FOR McDyess57
41
Q3 - 8:30DETMcDyess L.B.FOUL (P4.T1)57
41
Q3 - 8:30SASSPURS Rebound57
83.6%
41
16.4%
Q3 - 8:30DETMISS Billups 16' Jump Shot57
84.3%
41
15.7%
Q3 - 8:51DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
85.8%
41
14.2%
Q3 - 8:52SASMISS Finley 16' Jump Shot57
85.1%
41
14.9%
Q3 - 9:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
82.8%
41
17.2%
Q3 - 9:15DETBowen BLOCK (2 BLK)57
83.4%
41
16.6%
Q3 - 9:38DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
84.9%
41
15.1%
Q3 - 9:40SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot57
84.3%
41
15.7%
Q3 - 9:56SASSPURS Rebound57
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q3 - 9:57DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
83.5%
41
16.5%
Q3 - 10:12DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
83.5%
41
16.5%
Q3 - 10:13SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot57
82.9%
41
17.1%
Q3 - 10:35DETBillups 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)57
81.5%
41
18.5%
Q3 - 11:00SASOberto 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)54
76.9%
41
23.1%
Q3 - 11:18SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q3 - 11:19DETMISS Prince 20' Jump Shot54
78.7%
39
21.3%
Q3 - 11:42SASOberto Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)54
80.4%
39
19.6%
Q3 - 12:0054
39
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS54
78.0%
39
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
78.0%
39
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Hamilton 11' Floating Jump Shot54
78.7%
39
21.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
78.9%
39
21.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
77.1%
39
22.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0DETMISS Billups 1' Layup54
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
78.9%
39
21.1%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup54
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
77.2%
39
22.8%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETMISS Maxiell 3' Layup54
77.7%
39
22.3%
Q2 - 1:19DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Parker Running Layup54
77.4%
39
22.6%
Q2 - 1:24SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
76.2%
39
23.8%
Q2 - 1:26DETMISS Billups 15' Jump Shot54
76.7%
39
23.3%
Q2 - 1:41SASGinobili 3' Layup (4 PTS)54
77.9%
39
22.1%
Q2 - 1:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
80.7%
37
19.3%
Q2 - 1:55DETMISS Wallace 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
81.1%
37
18.9%
Q2 - 2:14SASDuncan 3' Layup (12 PTS)54
81.1%
37
18.9%
Q2 - 2:27DETHamilton 8' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
82.9%
35
17.1%
Q2 - 2:47DETPistons Rebound52
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 2:47SASMISS Duncan 3' Jump Shot52
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 2:59DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
79.1%
35
20.9%
Q2 - 2:59DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
78.9%
35
21.1%
Q2 - 2:59DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)50
35
Q2 - 2:59SASBonner S.FOUL (P2.PN)50
35
Q2 - 3:15SASBonner 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)50
76.0%
35
24.0%
Q2 - 3:23DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
77.9%
33
22.1%
Q2 - 3:23DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
77.6%
33
22.4%
Q2 - 3:23SASBowen S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
33
Q2 - 3:37DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
76.1%
33
23.9%
Q2 - 3:39SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 148
75.7%
33
24.3%
Q2 - 3:39DETHayes S.FOUL (P1.PN)48
33
Q2 - 3:39SASGinobili 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)48
33
Q2 - 3:49DETHamilton 2' Layup (12 PTS)48
77.9%
31
22.1%
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
74.7%
31
25.3%
Q2 - 4:10SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Udoka46
30
Q2 - 4:10DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess46
30
Q2 - 4:10SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
75.4%
30
24.6%
Q2 - 4:10DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P3.T4)46
29
Q2 - 4:29DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
76.8%
29
23.2%
Q2 - 4:36SASBowen P.FOUL (P1.T4)44
29
Q2 - 4:48SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
74.8%
29
25.2%
Q2 - 4:48SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
75.5%
28
24.5%
Q2 - 4:48DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T3)44
27
Q2 - 5:07SASSUB: Bowen FOR Finley44
27
Q2 - 5:07SASSUB: Parker FOR Vaughn44
27
Q2 - 5:07DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Prince44
27
Q2 - 5:07DETSUB: Billups FOR Stuckey44
27
Q2 - 5:07SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)44
27
Q2 - 5:07DETMaxiell Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)44
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 5:23SASUdoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)44
77.9%
27
22.1%
Q2 - 5:50DETMaxiell 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
81.8%
24
18.2%
Q2 - 5:59DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
80.0%
24
20.0%
Q2 - 6:00SASMISS Duncan 12' Jump Bank Shot42
79.4%
24
20.6%
Q2 - 6:29DETHayes 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)42
76.7%
24
23.3%
Q2 - 6:52SASUdoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)40
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q2 - 6:59SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
78.8%
21
21.2%
Q2 - 7:00SASMISS Bonner 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
80.3%
21
19.7%
Q2 - 7:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
77.9%
21
22.1%
Q2 - 7:09DETMISS Hayes 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 7:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
79.9%
21
20.1%
Q2 - 7:28DETMISS Maxiell 12' Jump Shot40
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 7:45DETHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
79.9%
21
20.1%
Q2 - 7:46SASMISS Duncan 8' Jump Shot40
79.3%
21
20.7%
Q2 - 8:03SASSUB: Udoka FOR Ginobili40
21
Q2 - 8:03DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P1.T2)40
21
Q2 - 8:12SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
76.6%
21
23.4%
Q2 - 8:13DETMISS McDyess 20' Jump Shot40
77.2%
21
22.8%
Q2 - 8:36DETSUB: McDyess FOR Wallace40
21
Q2 - 8:36SASSUB: Duncan FOR Elson40
21
Q2 - 8:3640
21
Q2 - 8:36SASVaughn Palming Turnover (P1.T7)40
78.5%
21
21.5%
Q2 - 8:49DETPrince 4' Jump Shot (13 PTS)40
76.7%
21
23.3%
Q2 - 9:02SASBonner P.FOUL (P1.T3)38
21
Q2 - 9:12SASVaughn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)38
73.5%
21
26.5%
Q2 - 9:12SASSPURS Rebound38
20
Q2 - 9:12SASMISS Vaughn Free Throw 1 of 238
74.0%
20
26.0%
Q2 - 9:12DETSUB: Hayes FOR Hamilton38
20
Q2 - 9:12SASSUB: Bonner FOR Horry38
20
Q2 - 9:12DETStuckey S.FOUL (P1.T1)38
20
Q2 - 9:26SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
73.5%
20
26.5%
Q2 - 9:27DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 138
73.8%
20
26.2%
Q2 - 9:27SASElson S.FOUL (P1.T2)38
20
Q2 - 9:27DETPrince 3' Layup (11 PTS)38
20
Q2 - 9:47DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
71.4%
20
28.6%
Q2 - 9:48SASMISS Finley 20' Jump Shot36
70.7%
20
29.3%
Q2 - 10:01DETWallace 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS)36
68.1%
20
31.9%
Q2 - 10:21SASHorry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)34
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q2 - 10:29DETWallace 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
63.5%
20
36.5%
Q2 - 10:42SASVaughn P.FOUL (P1.T1)32
20
Q2 - 10:53SASVaughn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q2 - 11:20DETMaxiell 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)32
65.0%
17
35.0%
Q2 - 11:42SASElson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)30
62.7%
17
37.3%
Q2 - 12:0030
15
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS30
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound30
65.0%
15
35.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASMISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
66.6%
15
33.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETPrince 1' Layup (9 PTS)30
63.6%
15
36.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSUB: Vaughn FOR Parker28
15
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSUB: Elson FOR Duncan28
15
Q1 - 0:27.0SASSUB: Finley FOR Bowen28
15
Q1 - 0:27.0DETPistons Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
15
Q1 - 0:27.0DETPistons Rebound28
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETBowen BLOCK (1 BLK)28
59.5%
15
40.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)28
60.8%
15
39.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0SASMISS Parker 2' Layup28
60.3%
15
39.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0DETHamilton 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)28
59.0%
15
41.0%
Q1 - 1:00DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
56.1%
15
43.9%
Q1 - 1:01SASMISS Duncan 5' Jump Shot26
54.2%
15
45.8%
Q1 - 1:24DETMcDyess 3' Layup (4 PTS)26
53.1%
15
46.9%
Q1 - 1:25DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
50.0%
15
50.0%
Q1 - 1:27DETMISS Wallace 3' Layup24
48.9%
15
51.1%
Q1 - 1:35SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)24
50.1%
15
49.9%
Q1 - 1:56DETMcDyess 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)24
48.4%
15
51.6%
Q1 - 2:06DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 2:07DETMISS McDyess 21' Jump Shot22
43.6%
15
56.4%
Q1 - 2:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:44DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)22
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 2:53SASDuncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)19
38.3%
15
61.7%
Q1 - 3:09DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)19
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 3:09SASHorry S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
15
Q1 - 3:09DETPrince 3' Layup (6 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)18
15
Q1 - 3:13SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)16
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q1 - 3:30DETHamilton 1' Layup (8 PTS)16
30.0%
15
70.0%
Q1 - 3:36DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
28.1%
15
71.9%
Q1 - 3:37SASMISS Ginobili 4' Jump Shot14
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 3:50SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.3%
15
73.7%
Q1 - 3:52DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot14
26.8%
15
73.2%
Q1 - 4:10SASDuncan 5' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)14
28.0%
15
72.0%
Q1 - 4:35DETPrince 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)14
29.6%
13
70.4%
Q1 - 4:55DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 4:56SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot12
27.6%
13
72.4%
Q1 - 5:08DETPrince 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
26.5%
13
73.5%
Q1 - 5:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
25.3%
13
74.7%
Q1 - 5:25SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot10
24.8%
13
75.2%
Q1 - 5:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 5:35DETMISS Wallace 11' Jump Bank Shot10
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 5:52SASHorry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 6:02SASSUB: Horry FOR Oberto10
13
Q1 - 6:02SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Finley10
13
Q1 - 6:02SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)10
13
Q1 - 6:08DETHamilton 12' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)10
23.8%
13
76.2%
Q1 - 6:25SASOberto 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)8
22.8%
13
77.2%
Q1 - 6:43DETHamilton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)8
24.1%
11
75.9%
Q1 - 6:49SASOberto P.FOUL (P1.T2)6
11
Q1 - 7:04SASParker 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 7:15DETWallace 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 7:31SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
23.3%
9
76.7%
Q1 - 7:38DETFinley STEAL (1 STL)4
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 7:41DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
23.4%
9
76.6%
Q1 - 7:43SASMISS Duncan 13' Jump Shot4
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 7:54DETBillups P.FOUL (P1.T2)4
9
Q1 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 8:06DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot4
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:10DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
23.7%
9
76.3%
Q1 - 8:11SASMISS Parker 4' Jump Shot4
23.4%
9
76.6%
Q1 - 8:21SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.9%
9
77.1%
Q1 - 8:22SASMISS Parker 2' Layup4
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:31DETParker STEAL (1 STL)4
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 8:38DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
24.1%
9
75.9%
Q1 - 8:40SASMISS Oberto 4' Jump Shot4
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:54SASSPURS Rebound4
23.6%
9
76.4%
Q1 - 8:55DETMISS Prince 9' Jump Shot4
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 9:06DETPistons Rebound4
9
Q1 - 9:06DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw Technical4
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 9:06SASSPURS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Duncan )4
9
Q1 - 9:18SASDuncan P.FOUL (P1.T1)4
9
Q1 - 9:35SASFinley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)4
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 9:48DETOberto STEAL (1 STL)4
27.3%
6
72.7%
Q1 - 10:03SASDuncan 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 10:26DETWallace 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
29.3%
4
70.7%
Q1 - 10:44SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
29.0%
4
71.0%
Q1 - 10:44SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
29.2%
3
70.8%
Q1 - 10:44DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:07DETHamilton 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 11:27SASFinley 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 11:42SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 11:44DETMISS Billups 14' Jump Shot0
30.5%
0
69.5%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Wallace: Tip to Billups0
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDETSAS
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.03 51.7%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
14
23
61%
SAS
14
28
50%
Midrange
DET
19
43
44%
SAS
11
25
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
SAS
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
DET
15
19
79%
SAS
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Wallace2368%11.5 / 17
R. Hamilton1860%9.0 / 15
T. Prince1753%8.5 / 16
C. Billups1146%5.5 / 12
L. Hunter788%3.5 / 4
A. McDyess633%3.0 / 9
J. Maxiell425%2.0 / 8
J. Hayes450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2460%12.0 / 20
T. Parker1240%6.0 / 15
J. Vaughn10100%5.0 / 5
M. Ginobili932%4.5 / 14
M. Finley739%3.5 / 9
F. Elson6100%3.0 / 3
I. Udoka6150%3.0 / 2
F. Oberto467%2.0 / 3
M. Bonner225%1.0 / 4
B. Bowen0-0.0 / 1
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
76
+10
-9
86
SAS
70
+8
-15
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
1.03 51.7%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
106.5
DET 105.9 +11.8
SAS 94.1
Pace
88.2
89.5
DET 81.7
SAS 88.6 +7.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.9
16.5
DET 17.6
SAS 16.2 −1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
50.4%
DET 48.7% +2.4%
SAS 46.3%
TO %
12.6%
13.4%
DET 10.5% −5.8%
SAS 16.3%
ORB %
29.4%
23.4%
DET 18.9% +0.5%
SAS 18.4%
FTrt
30.0
27.6
DET 24.7
SAS 34.3 +9.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.1%
58.5%
DET 47.2%
SAS 58.6% +11.4%
STL %
8.1%
7.1%
DET 11.8% +4.7%
SAS 7.1%
BLK %
9.4%
6.5%
DET 7.5%
SAS 7.6% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
52.8%
DET 51.7% +1.7%
SAS 50.0%
Rim FG%
60.1%
60.6%
DET 60.9% +10.9%
SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.7%
40.4%
DET 44.2% +0.2%
SAS 44.0%
3P %
36.6%
36.9%
DET 27.3%
SAS 28.6% +1.3%
FT %
76.7%
76.1%
DET 78.9% +0.6%
SAS 78.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
27.8%
30.8%
DET 29.9%
SAS 41.8% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
51.9%
44.1%
DET 55.8%
SAS 37.3% −18.5%
3P Att. %
20.3%
25.1%
DET 14.3%
SAS 20.9% +6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETSAS
Possessions8585
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points9080
Rebounds3837
Assists1717
Steals106
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)9 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)30 (3)
Field Goals36-7729-67
At-the-Rim FG14-2314-28
Midrange FG19-4311-25
2-Point FG33-6625-53
3-Point FG3-114-14
Free Throws15-1918-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 193 · 30
40.5
18
60%
3
3
0
0
1
3
0
3
4-5
80%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 33
39.5
23
68%
15
3
3
2
1
3
2
13
4-4
100%
8-11
73%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 212 · 28
38.3
17
53%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
8-13
62%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 31
38.3
11
46%
5
6
4
0
3
2
1
4
4-4
100%
2-8
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 33
25.9
6
33%
6
1
0
1
1
6
2
4
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 25
28.1
4
25%
2
1
0
1
3
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 26
16.3
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 22
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 37
6.3
7
88%
1
0
2
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
C · 7'1" 255 · 28
#25 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#35 · C · 7'1" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G · 6'3" 200 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
52%
38
17
10
4
9
0
7
31
15-19
79%
33-66
50%
3-11
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.