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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Pistons31%8990
2Spurs69%9680
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
40.5
33.4
18
59%
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
7-13
6-12
54%
47%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
39.5
32.0
23
69%
15
3
3
1
2
1
2
13
4-4
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
46%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.9
38.3
29.8
17
50%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
8-13
4-8
62%
46%
0-3
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
38.3
31.7
11
47%
5
6
4
1
0
3
1
4
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
25.9
25.4
6
34%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
3-8
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
28.1
22.2
4
25%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
16.3
15.7
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
6.9
19.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
44%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
6.3
7.4
7
90%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
37%
1-1
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
10.1
0
1-2
47%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
10.0
0
1-2
49%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
5.5
0
1-1
46%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
40.8
35.4
24
60%
15
5
1
1
1
1
5
10
8-9
89%
8-16
8-15
50%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.8
34.4
34.3
7
39%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
32.0
36.4
12
39%
4
4
1
1
0
5
0
4
4-5
80%
4-13
8-15
31%
52%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
26.0
33.4
0
0%
2
2
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
42%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
18.8
12.9
4
67%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
56%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
27.6
29.7
9
32%
4
2
1
1
1
2
1
3
3-5
60%
3-9
4-8
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
18.8
12.0
10
105%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
17.6
16.5
2
25%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
8.8
16.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
7.2
2.7
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
6.7
13.3
6
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-2
100%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
1.4
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.