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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Suns45%10686
12Jazz55%108108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.1
38.2
30.9
25
56%
5
5
2
1
0
3
1
4
8-10
80%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
3-10
30%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.1
38.1
16.9
9
38%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
2-8
25%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
36.0
29.5
8
40%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.7
34.7
31.4
5
42%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.1
28.9
30.0
21
51%
14
1
1
1
1
1
5
9
3-4
75%
9-19
7-13
47%
55%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.6
19.7
15.3
2
20%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.3
18.2
2.5
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
14.1
2.3
5
51%
6
1
1
0
2
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.6
12.0
1.8
8
58%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
37.1
2
5-9
55%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 33.9
28.1
1
3-6
53%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.3
18.2
1
3-5
50%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
36.6
27.1
22
55%
17
3
0
0
1
1
5
12
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
48%
3-9
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
34.8
31.0
17
66%
3
11
1
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.8
31.8
25.3
21
69%
6
1
0
2
0
0
4
2
3-3
100%
9-13
4-7
69%
55%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
28.8
28.9
18
58%
1
2
1
1
1
4
0
1
6-8
75%
6-12
8-14
50%
56%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
16.3
20.0
6
47%
4
0
0
1
3
0
1
3
2-3
67%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.8
31.7
21.4
11
39%
5
4
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
45%
1-6
17%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.7
22.4
17.0
2
14%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.9
19.2
22.5
7
51%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
1-2
50%
3-6
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.1
11.4
16.7
3
80%
2
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
7.0
4.8
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
18.1
0
3-7
50%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
17.7
1
2-4
51%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.