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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls51%93100
2576ers49%9297
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
34.6
29.6
19
48%
6
1
0
1
2
0
3
3
3-4
75%
8-18
6-12
44%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
33.4
35.3
6
41%
8
2
2
1
1
3
6
2
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
32.5
25.0
5
50%
3
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
30.4
38.4
11
74%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-3
4-8
33%
45%
3-4
75%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
29.9
21.1
27
70%
7
4
0
0
2
2
1
6
2-3
67%
8-10
3-5
80%
49%
3-8
38%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
35.9
33.9
15
48%
5
5
2
1
0
5
3
2
5-6
83%
2-8
5-12
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
16.3
15.6
4
34%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
13.7
8.9
8
58%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
13.3
5.5
5
43%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
3.5
0
0-1
45%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
2.4
0
0-1
45%
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.8
39.9
36.2
20
46%
1
4
2
1
0
3
1
0
4-6
67%
8-18
6-13
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
37.0
35.3
25
48%
6
5
4
2
2
5
1
5
7-12
58%
6-18
5-11
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.7
36.9
33.8
21
74%
20
0
0
1
2
4
9
11
5-5
100%
8-12
5-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.6
31.0
23.3
1
13%
13
0
2
1
0
0
5
8
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
21.9
30.1
6
50%
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
5-11
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 21.9
21.7
13.4
4
33%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.6
20.1
20.2
4
34%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
17.1
24.3
15
60%
1
2
2
1
0
3
1
0
6-8
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
45%
1-1
100%
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.8
8.7
8.2
1
57%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.7
5.6
4.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.6
8.7
0
1-2
45%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.0
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.1
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.