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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Heat22%9188
8Hornets78%101114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
37.8
25.7
27
80%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
13-16
3-7
81%
49%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
36.5
35.2
11
35%
1
7
2
2
0
3
0
1
3-4
75%
4-14
8-15
29%
49%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
35.9
36.3
9
35%
8
7
1
1
0
3
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.1
30.9
21.9
12
71%
2
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
3-6
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
25.6
35.9
6
50%
7
1
1
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-6
5-10
50%
48%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
20.0
26.5
4
33%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
17.1
20.0
8
100%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
2-2
100%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
14.4
7.5
4
67%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
9.1
12.0
5
43%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
7.3
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
5.4
10.5
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
13.2
0
2-4
43%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.8
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
33.6
31.5
11
44%
10
5
1
1
2
1
1
9
1-1
100%
5-12
7-13
42%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
33.1
38.3
16
114%
2
16
1
2
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
5-5
7-14
100%
50%
2-2
100%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.3
30.4
35.8
19
64%
6
2
1
1
2
2
2
4
3-4
75%
8-13
5-9
62%
60%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.6
28.5
32.7
15
69%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
13.1
27.1
3
38%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
1-4
25%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.8
25.0
15.4
25
139%
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
7-7
100%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
21.1
7.3
6
43%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.1
19.5
13.8
6
75%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
37%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.2
19.3
17.0
9
113%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
5.4
7.2
3
52%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.6
5.4
7.1
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.6
5.4
5.9
1
22%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.