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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves14%8682
6Rockets86%100113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.0
29.9
35.7
6
26%
6
0
2
1
2
1
0
6
2-4
50%
2-10
8-17
20%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
29.5
33.3
2
23%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
1-4
3-8
25%
40%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
28.9
33.3
20
60%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
8-14
3-8
57%
45%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
24.9
28.9
9
34%
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-3
33%
4-11
3-8
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
20.9
7.9
10
63%
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
41%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
23.5
33.3
2
27%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-4
50%
0-1
3-7
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.9
21.4
18.0
16
81%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
39%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
21.3
17.8
12
60%
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
11.2
7.4
5
53%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
10.8
6.0
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
9.9
3.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
7.7
16.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.3
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.0
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.1
33.2
31.3
15
54%
3
2
1
1
2
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-11
3-5
45%
49%
1-2
50%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
30.6
39.4
11
51%
3
5
2
2
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.3
29.1
37.1
10
100%
9
3
4
1
2
1
1
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
2-2
100%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.3
27.8
38.1
15
74%
4
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
3-5
60%
6-8
9-17
75%
54%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
19.3
24.7
4
33%
8
1
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
60%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
24.3
21.8
22
72%
9
5
1
1
0
1
2
7
8-12
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
55%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
21.5
14.3
5
36%
3
4
1
0
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
50%
0-2
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
21.1
2.6
5
25%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
0-1
14%
47%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
20.2
1.5
15
101%
11
0
0
0
0
0
6
5
1-1
100%
7-7
0-0
100%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
8.2
3.1
9
75%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
3-5
60%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
4.8
2.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.5
4.3
0
0-0
54%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.