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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Magic40%102103
9Nuggets60%106113
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
42.6
33.7
21
66%
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
4-5
4-7
80%
49%
4-10
40%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.1
38.3
37.1
20
57%
13
0
0
1
3
4
3
10
4-8
50%
8-14
7-12
57%
58%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
37.0
38.1
8
25%
7
5
0
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
46%
0-4
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
32.5
30.1
11
42%
5
8
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
1-2
50%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
27.4
25.6
15
76%
3
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2-2
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
45%
1-3
33%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.7
24.8
18.5
14
80%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
3-6
50%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
18.1
18.6
10
79%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.5
9.7
14.2
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
9.7
9.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.9
6.3
0
1-1
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.5
6.0
0
0-1
46%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
1.7
0
0-0
46%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.4
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 32.6
43.3
40.0
21
51%
5
13
1
2
1
2
2
3
8-13
62%
5-12
7-15
42%
47%
1-3
33%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
39.5
34.8
32
66%
11
2
1
1
0
1
4
7
8-10
80%
9-18
8-17
50%
50%
2-2
100%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.0
38.0
24.4
13
51%
6
1
3
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33.8
37.1
31.5
8
44%
12
2
1
1
3
1
4
8
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.6
35.8
30.6
21
61%
5
11
2
1
0
3
0
5
2-3
67%
8-13
3-6
62%
47%
1-3
33%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.0
21.2
22.1
18
67%
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
53%
3-8
38%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.5
20.5
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22.3
4.6
5.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25.3
21.9
1
3-6
53%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25.4
6.1
0
0-1
46%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 22.5
3.2
0
0-1
45%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 26.2
3.0
0
0-1
57%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.