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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Mavericks78%10390
29SuperSonics22%9370
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
35.1
35.2
18
43%
11
0
1
1
0
2
4
7
0-0
-
9-18
7-14
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
29.5
28.3
7
44%
1
5
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
1-6
4-8
17%
51%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
27.3
34.5
20
69%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
10-10
100%
5-10
7-13
50%
51%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
27.3
28.1
4
33%
10
2
0
0
2
2
3
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.2
20.9
21.1
6
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
21.0
18.7
8
45%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
20.6
21.6
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.9
17.7
17.4
10
89%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.3
17.6
24.7
11
53%
3
1
4
1
2
1
0
3
1-1
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
52%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
11.5
8.8
2
17%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-2
17%
42%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
6.6
5.1
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.9
4.8
4.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.5
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
34.5
26.2
6
38%
5
0
0
1
3
2
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
4-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
33.9
30.7
15
45%
3
6
0
1
1
2
0
3
7-8
88%
4-10
6-13
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
32.9
25.1
2
20%
15
2
1
1
1
0
3
12
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
30.7
28.3
15
63%
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
1-2
50%
7-11
4-8
64%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
26.6
24.9
5
23%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-9
2-6
22%
44%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
28.3
22.2
17
94%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
3-4
75%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.5
21.4
23.7
2
11%
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
47%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
20.5
20.7
6
34%
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
2-4
50%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.0
9.3
22.8
2
17%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.6
2.0
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
6.6
0
1-2
52%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
5.4
0
1-1
44%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.