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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Pistons74%98103
20Bobcats26%90100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
45.8
35.7
26
47%
7
8
2
1
0
1
0
7
6-6
100%
7-16
7-13
44%
50%
2-9
22%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
43.5
33.9
27
72%
4
7
3
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
7-12
3-7
58%
48%
3-5
60%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.9
39.7
32.7
22
65%
7
3
1
1
2
2
4
3
0-0
-
8-13
5-9
62%
49%
2-4
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
35.9
25.5
5
29%
11
1
0
1
0
5
4
7
3-4
75%
1-7
4-7
14%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
35.6
34.4
10
42%
6
2
4
1
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
21.9
24.3
6
52%
7
1
0
1
2
1
5
2
4-4
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
55%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
13.3
15.8
2
13%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-5
0%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
12.6
14.3
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
6.9
3.5
3
104%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.5
5.5
6.5
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.2
4.1
6.7
0
0%
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
3.9
0
1-1
54%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
51.1
40.6
20
48%
4
8
1
1
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
6-12
5-12
50%
45%
2-8
25%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
48.4
41.3
26
49%
6
5
3
2
3
6
0
6
9-13
69%
7-13
6-12
54%
50%
1-8
13%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
45.6
28.1
19
72%
15
2
2
1
1
2
6
9
3-5
60%
8-11
4-8
73%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
43.3
24.9
10
49%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-5
40%
4-8
2-4
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
30.0
3.2
6
47%
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
2
2-3
67%
2-5
0-1
40%
45%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
31.6
22.2
19
60%
13
1
0
1
3
2
5
8
3-4
75%
8-14
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
10.4
4.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
4.6
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.5
41.9
1
4-10
41%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.2
24.9
0
2-4
42%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
3.8
0
0-1
40%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 33.9
1.8
0
0-1
44%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.