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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Timberwolves7%8588
2Spurs93%105105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
40.5
31.0
2
17%
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
40%
0-3
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
40.0
26.8
17
66%
5
6
2
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
3-7
43%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
39.6
30.7
21
66%
9
2
0
1
1
1
2
7
2-2
100%
8-11
3-7
73%
45%
1-4
25%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.0
37.2
32.6
24
61%
4
1
0
1
2
2
1
3
4-4
100%
10-18
7-15
56%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
20.1
13.5
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
42%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
25.6
19.6
12
54%
7
0
2
0
1
4
3
4
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.9
16.8
19.8
2
25%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
40%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
15.6
28.2
2
50%
4
5
2
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-6
50%
42%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.4
4.8
12.2
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
9.7
0
1-3
41%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
7.1
0
0-1
46%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.0
4.8
0
0-0
40%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.7
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.0
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.7
30.9
37.3
15
51%
9
0
1
1
3
1
2
7
1-6
17%
7-12
9-17
58%
55%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
28.6
34.2
21
58%
0
8
1
1
0
6
0
0
7-9
78%
7-13
8-14
54%
55%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.8
20.8
15.5
6
87%
7
1
2
0
3
0
3
4
0-1
0%
3-3
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
19.9
29.9
1
17%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
19.6
33.8
11
69%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
47%
3-5
60%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
27.3
28.4
22
76%
5
3
5
1
0
4
3
2
7-10
70%
3-5
4-8
60%
52%
3-5
60%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 32.9
23.8
15.0
0
0%
2
8
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
19.5
5.0
6
44%
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.4
18.9
10.3
9
57%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
52%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
17.3
17.0
9
83%
6
0
0
0
1
5
1
5
1-1
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
2-3
67%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
7.5
1.6
5
133%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-1
100%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
6.0
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.