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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Magic36%101115
12Jazz64%106119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
41.0
36.8
27
58%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
7-7
100%
7-10
4-7
70%
48%
2-10
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 22.1
40.7
37.3
29
62%
15
3
1
1
2
0
6
9
17-24
71%
6-13
7-12
46%
57%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
34.6
25.9
11
51%
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
2-3
67%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 25.9
31.2
30.9
10
83%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
2-3
67%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 28.8
30.4
37.4
10
46%
7
5
2
1
1
4
2
5
1-2
50%
3-7
4-10
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 27.7
17.0
18.6
10
42%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
5-10
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.7
14.6
21.3
5
46%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 27.1
13.9
1.8
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
45%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23.6
9.2
4.5
7
55%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 32.8
7.3
9.7
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 28.5
12.7
0
1-3
44%
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.9
4.6
0
0-1
48%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 31.4
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 23.9
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
38.0
32.5
17
48%
1
11
0
1
0
4
0
1
5-6
83%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.1
35.5
28.8
15
44%
10
2
0
1
0
5
2
8
5-5
100%
5-15
8-14
33%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
33.5
12.7
16
91%
7
8
2
0
1
2
2
5
4-4
100%
6-7
1-3
86%
51%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
29.1
31.1
29
82%
8
1
0
1
2
1
1
7
5-6
83%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
4-5
80%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.8
27.3
28.0
11
95%
5
3
0
2
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
4-4
4-8
100%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.8
20.8
25.5
7
49%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 22.9
20.1
20.8
8
71%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
4-6
67%
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.6
14.7
11.3
11
71%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.1
11.1
14.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.7
9.9
19.0
5
87%
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.8
18.4
1
2-4
49%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 22.9
5.8
0
1-1
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.