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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 12, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pacers44%100111
21Kings56%102105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
41.3
32.7
23
68%
6
3
2
1
0
4
2
4
2-2
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
3-7
43%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
35.9
23.0
10
37%
2
5
3
1
0
2
1
1
1-1
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
43%
1-5
20%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.2
34.8
30.6
12
48%
7
5
1
1
2
5
2
5
8-10
80%
2-8
6-13
25%
46%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
21.7
29.9
14
48%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
5-6
83%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
19.1
30.3
2
50%
2
2
3
2
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
44%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
28.9
9.5
19
87%
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
5-7
71%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
23.7
19.0
12
67%
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
19.3
14.0
10
64%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
13.2
25.9
6
77%
5
0
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
2.3
20.1
3
80%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
16.3
1
1-3
42%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
5.2
0
1-1
52%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
45.4
36.5
22
60%
12
3
2
1
0
2
3
9
1-1
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
49%
3-6
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
42.5
39.9
15
59%
1
4
0
2
1
4
0
1
6-6
100%
3-8
6-13
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
37.7
38.2
14
42%
15
5
0
1
1
6
4
11
4-4
100%
5-14
6-11
36%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
33.6
39.0
14
88%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
5-11
67%
46%
2-2
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
27.1
35.1
4
41%
7
0
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
56%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.9
28.6
10.1
25
93%
2
1
2
0
0
3
0
2
10-10
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
14.4
16.3
5
39%
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
10.7
12.1
6
68%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
11.4
1
2-3
47%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.7
7.3
0
1-2
50%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
5.0
0
1-1
53%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.5
2.4
0
0-0
48%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.