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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Bulls48%9284
19Hawks52%93105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
34.0
31.1
12
35%
8
1
1
1
2
2
3
5
0-0
-
6-17
6-13
35%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
33.1
33.7
3
22%
13
3
0
1
1
1
4
9
1-4
25%
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
30.3
34.0
11
40%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
4-11
3-7
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
22.6
25.3
20
70%
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
4
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
3-4
75%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
17.9
28.4
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.7
29.9
28.8
28
74%
6
1
0
1
1
3
4
2
8-9
89%
10-15
6-12
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
29.4
34.4
6
23%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
5-12
43%
45%
0-6
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
26.1
9.3
2
21%
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
10.1
15.8
2
35%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.4
3.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
3.3
1.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
11.2
0
2-4
49%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.5
42.4
40.9
37
72%
9
6
1
1
0
1
1
8
6-6
100%
8-17
7-13
47%
49%
5-6
83%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.6
36.7
34.6
11
40%
4
3
2
1
4
4
0
4
5-6
83%
3-11
5-11
27%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.3
26.1
31.7
7
66%
2
4
1
1
2
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.1
25.1
37.0
9
48%
8
3
2
2
4
5
1
7
1-1
100%
4-9
7-14
44%
48%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.6
20.8
32.7
8
69%
9
0
0
1
0
1
2
7
2-4
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
32.6
26.1
14
59%
9
2
1
1
1
3
3
6
2-2
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
56%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.0
21.9
11.4
5
30%
3
3
1
0
0
1
2
1
1-1
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
18.7
0.4
6
44%
7
0
0
0
0
0
6
1
2-2
100%
2-6
0-0
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
11.1
4.2
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
4.5
2.7
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
9.4
0
1-1
46%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.7
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.9
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.