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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Grizzlies20%9999
5Lakers80%109100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
45.6
34.7
27
80%
5
3
2
1
0
3
1
4
1-2
50%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
4-6
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
45.3
39.2
21
64%
18
8
0
1
4
2
5
13
1-1
100%
10-16
8-16
63%
50%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
30.8
39.0
11
28%
6
2
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-1
0%
4-14
5-12
29%
46%
1-5
20%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
25.9
21.3
8
40%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
24.5
26.4
10
42%
4
7
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
43%
2-5
40%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
23.5
19.9
7
44%
2
6
2
1
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
43%
1-3
33%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
22.2
26.6
8
51%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-2
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
16.3
14.6
4
34%
3
0
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-5
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
6.0
5.1
3
34%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
9.4
0
1-1
41%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.1
7.7
0
1-3
47%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
1.2
0
0-0
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
38.0
27.5
8
50%
6
2
1
1
0
5
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
36.1
35.3
37
59%
3
4
4
2
0
1
2
1
14-15
93%
7-15
7-15
47%
51%
3-10
30%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
33.1
34.9
10
51%
10
3
0
1
1
1
4
6
2-2
100%
4-8
5-9
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.4
29.3
25.2
9
40%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-5
40%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.2
20.0
32.0
10
71%
9
3
0
0
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
5-7
6-10
71%
61%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.8
25.5
15.3
3
22%
6
1
0
0
3
0
0
6
1-4
25%
1-5
2-3
20%
54%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.1
18.7
21.6
10
45%
2
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
2-7
29%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.5
16.0
21.3
3
75%
2
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
53%
1-2
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.0
11.4
12.2
3
39%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.0
7.1
9.1
7
117%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
4.8
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.8
3.0
0
0-1
46%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.